ZTO Express (Cayman) (BSP:Z1TO34) GF Value Rank: 9 (As of Jul. 22, 2026) — 13% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BSP:Z1TO34 ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc BSP:Z1TO34
95 GF Score
Price R$31.23
GF Value R$37.16
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is ZTO Express (Cayman) GF Value Rank?

ZTO Express (Cayman) BSP:Z1TO34 95 GF Value Rank is 9 as of Jul. 22, 2026, which is 13% above its 10-year median of 8.00. GuruFocus rates BSP:Z1TO34 with a GF Score™ of 95/100 and a GF Value™ of R$37.16 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

ZTO Express (Cayman) has the GF Value Rank of 9.

GF Value Rank evaluates the exclusive GuruFocus valuation and performance of a stock, rated on a scale from 1 to 10. It is determined by the price-to-GF-Value (P/GF Value) ratio, a proprietary metric calculated based on historical multiples along with an adjustment factor based on a company's past returns and growth and future estimates of the business' performance.

GuruFocus found that for valuation, we cannot simply give stocks a better GF Value rank simply because they have a lower P/GF Value ratio. Backtesting shows that over the long term, the two worst-performing groups are the most expensive group (with the highest P/GF Value ratio) and the least expensive group (with the lowest P/GF Value ratio).

We can understand why the most expensive group underperforms. We were initially puzzled by the underperformance of the least expensive group, but we realized there is a reason why some stocks are super cheap. If they look too undervalued, it is often because the businesses behind them are poor quality. The market realized this and gave them low valuations. In a way, the market is efficient.

After multiple backtesting analyses, we granted the stocks in third-cheapest percentile the highest GF Value rank, as they have performed the best over a full market cycle. Stock performance is actually not as sensitive to valuation as it is to growth and profitability. On average, the companies in the 20%-50% valuation groups have similar performances. Therefore, we should avoid the most expensive and the least expensive stocks. We can be more tolerant of valuation.

A higher score indicates a stock with a relatively low valuation and substantial potential for outperformance. Conversely, a lower score often reflects stocks that are either highly overvalued or deeply undervalued, both of which tend to underperform.

Please click GF Score to see more details on the GF Score's 5 Key Aspects of Analysis.


ZTO Express (Cayman) GF Value Rank Related Terms


BSP:Z1TO34 vs EXPD, CHRW, FDXF: GF Value Rank Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s GF Value Rank, along with its competitors' market caps and GF Value Rank data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ZTO Express (Cayman) GF Value Rank vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s GF Value Rank distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ZTO Express (Cayman)'s GF Value Rank falls into.


BSP:Z1TO34
95GF Score
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc BSP:Z1TO34
GF Value Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about GF Value Rank →
What does a GF Value Rank of 9 mean?
ZTO Express (Cayman) (BSP:Z1TO34) has a GF Value Rank of 9 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GF Value Rank is given based on historical multiples along with past returns, growth and future estimates of the business' performance. View historical data on ZTO Express (Cayman) and its competitors. This is 13% above median its historical median of 8.00. Over the past decade, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s GF Value Rank has ranged from 2.00 to 10.00.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman)'s GF Value Rank too high?
ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current GF Value Rank of 9 is 13% above median its 10-year median of 8.00. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.00 to a high of 10.00. Overall, ZTO Express (Cayman) has a GF Score™ of 95/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ZTO Express (Cayman)'s GF Value Rank compare to EXPD and CHRW?
ZTO Express (Cayman)'s GF Value Rank of 9 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. Historically, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s own GF Value Rank has ranged from 2.00 to 10.00 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good GF Value Rank for a Transportation company?
A good GF Value Rank depends on the Transportation industry context. However, GF Value Rank should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high GF Value Rank mean?
A high GF Value Rank can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. GF Value Rank is given based on historical multiples along with past returns, growth and future estimates of the business' performance. View historical data on ZTO Express (Cayman) and its competitors. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current GF Value Rank is 9, which is 13% above median its own 10-year median of 8.00. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ZTO Express (Cayman) (BSP:Z1TO34) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$37.16, compared to a current price of R$31.23 — trading 16% below its estimated fair value. The current GF Value Rank is 9, which is 13% above median its 10-year median of 8.00. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s overall GF Score™ is 95/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is GF Value Rank calculated?
GF Value Rank is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ZTO Express (Cayman) (BSP:Z1TO34), the current GF Value Rank is 9 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) (BSP:Z1TO34) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ZTO Express (Cayman) stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R$31.23 is trading 16% below its estimated GF Value™ of R$37.16. GuruFocus considers ZTO Express (Cayman) to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:Z1TO34:

  • GF Value Rank: 9 (13% above median its 10-year median of 8.00)
  • GF Value™: R$37.16 vs. price of R$31.23 (16% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 95/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:Z1TO34 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


ZTO Express (Cayman) Business Description

Address No. 1685 Huazhi Road, Building One, Qingpu District, Shanghai, CHN, 201708
ZTO Express is China's largest express delivery company by parcel volume, with a volume share of 19.4% in 2024. It operates a network partner model where it provides line-haul transportation and sorting services, while its local network partners provide first-mile pickup and last-mile delivery services under the ZTO brand name. Headquartered in Shanghai, the company was founded in 2002 by Meisong Lai, who remains chair, CEO, and its major shareholder with 78% voting rights as of March 31, 2025. ZTO's strategic shareholder is leading China e-commerce company Alibaba Group with around an 8.9% interest.
95GF Score

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GF Value Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$31.23
Price
R$37.16
GF Value