GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Iterum Therapeutics PLC (NAS:ITRM) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

Iterum Therapeutics (Iterum Therapeutics) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $-127.63 (As of May. 25, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2018. Start your Free Trial

What is Iterum Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-25), Iterum Therapeutics's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-127.63.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Iterum Therapeutics's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Iterum Therapeutics is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Iterum Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ITRM's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 1.825
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Iterum Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Iterum Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Iterum Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Iterum Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - -

Iterum Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Iterum Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Iterum Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Iterum Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Iterum Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Iterum Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Iterum Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.75%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Iterum Therapeutics's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 57.40%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-3.358.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Iterum Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.09) = 1.1009174311927
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-3.358*38.009
=-127.63

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-127.63-1.35)/-127.63
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Iterum Therapeutics  (NAS:ITRM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Iterum Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Iterum Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Iterum Therapeutics (Iterum Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Fitzwilliam Court, 1st Floor, Leeson Close, Dublin, IRL, 2
Iterum Therapeutics PLC is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company. The company is engaged in developing and commercializing sulopenem to be the first and only oral and intravenous branded penem available globally. Its sulopenem program has the potential to offer a solution to the problem of antibiotic resistance and the toxicity limitations of existing agents. The company operates as a single business segment, which is the development and commercialization of innovative treatments for drug-resistant bacterial infections.
Executives
Michael W. Dunne officer: Chief Scientific Officer DURATA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 89 HEADQUARTERS PLAZA NORTH, 14TH FLOOR, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Fishman Corey N. director, officer: President & CEO DURATA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 89 HEADQUARTERS PLAZA NORTH, 14TH FLOOR, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Sailaja Puttagunta officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O BIOMX LTD., 7 PINHAS SAPIR ST., FLOOR 2, NESS ZIONA L3 7414002
Brenton Karl Ahrens director 2765 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Judith M. Matthews officer: Chief Financial Officer 200 WEST MONROE ST., SUITE 1575, CHICAGO IL 60606
Beth Hecht director C/O NEOS THERAPEUTICS, INC., 2940 N. HIGHWAY 360, GRAND PRAIRIE TX 75050
Alexander J Denner 10 percent owner C/O SARISSA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP, 660 STEAMBOAT ROAD, 3RD FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Sarissa Capital Hawkeye Fund Lp 10 percent owner 660 STEAMBOAT ROAD, 3RD FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Sarissa Capital Catapult Fund Llc 10 percent owner 660 STEAMBOAT ROAD, 3RD FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Sarissa Capital Master Fund Ii Lp 10 percent owner C/O SARISSA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP, 660 STEAMBOAT ROAD, 3RD FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Sarissa Capital Offshore Master Fund Lp 10 percent owner C/O SARISSA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, 660 STEAMBOAT ROAD 3RD FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Sarissa Capital Management Lp 10 percent owner 660 STEAMBOAT ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06830
Peter Kolchinsky 10 percent owner 200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Ra Capital Management, L.p. 10 percent owner 200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Ra Capital Healthcare Fund Lp 10 percent owner 200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116