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GRTX (Galera Therapeutics) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-6.94 (As of May. 16, 2025)


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What is Galera Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2025-05-16), Galera Therapeutics's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-6.94.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Galera Therapeutics's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Galera Therapeutics is N/A.

The industry rank for Galera Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

GRTX's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 1.96
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Galera Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Galera Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Galera Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Galera Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Galera Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
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Competitive Comparison of Galera Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Galera Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Galera Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Galera Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Galera Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.


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Galera Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.45%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Galera Therapeutics's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 48.90%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.222.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Galera Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.222*31.2501
=-6.94

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-6.94-0.0239)/-6.94
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Galera Therapeutics  (OTCPK:GRTX) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Galera Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Galera Therapeutics Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
101 Lindenwood Drive, Suite 225, Malvern, PA, USA, 19355
Galera Therapeutics Inc is a biopharmaceutical company that has been developing a portfolio of small molecule dismutase (SOD) mimetics to improve radiotherapy in cancer, by reducing one of the most common side effects of radiotherapy, severe oral mucositis (SOM). Its product candidate, avasopasem, is for the reduction of SOM-induced radiotherapy. Galera advanced avasopasem through Phase 1, then conducted a 223-patient randomized Phase 2 (GT-201) clinical trial and a 455-patient Phase 3 (ROMAN) clinical trial. The Firm's second product candidate, rucosopasem manganese, has been in development to augment the anti-cancer efficacy of stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC).
Executives
Mel Sorensen director, officer: President and CEO 7 RAPPS RUN DRIVE, MALVERN PA 19355
Mark Bachleda officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O GALERA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 2 W LIBERTY BOULEVARD, #110, MALVERN PA 19355
Chris Degnan officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O VERRICA PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 10 NORTH HIGH STREET, SUITE 200, WEST CHESTER PA 19380
Eugene P. Kennedy officer: Chief Medical Officer 2503 SOUTH LOOP DRIVE, AMES IA 50010
Linda West director C/O GALERA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 2 W LIBERTY BLVD., #110, MALVERN PA 19355
Jennifer Evans Stacey officer: See Remarks AUXILIUM PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 160 WEST GERMANTOWN PIKE, NORRISTOWN PA 19401
Jon T Holmlund officer: Chief Medical Officer
Lawrence M Alleva director 1000 WINTER STREET, SUITE 3300, WALTHAM MA 02451
Novo Holdings A/s 10 percent owner, other: SEE REMARKS TUBORG HAVNEVEJ 19, HELLERUP G7 2900
Joel F. Sussman officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O GALERA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 2 W LIBERTY BLVD. #110, MALVERN PA 19355
Novartis Bioventures Ltd 10 percent owner C/O NOVARTIS INTERNATIONAL AG, WSJ-200.220, CH-4002 BASEL V8 0000000000
New Enterprise Associates 14, L.p. 10 percent owner 1954 GREENSPRING DRIVE, SUITE 600, TIMONIUM MD 21093
Sofinnova Venture Partners Ix, L.p. 10 percent owner 3000 SAND HILL ROAD, 4-250, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Blackstone Clarus Gp L.p. 10 percent owner C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Clarus Iv-a, L.p. 10 percent owner 101 MAIN STREET, SUITE 1210, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142