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MBFIP.PFD (MB Financial) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $ (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is MB Financial Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-12-13), MB Financial's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

MB Financial's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for MB Financial is

The industry rank for MB Financial's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

MBFIP.PFD's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Banks industry.
Industry Median: 0.555
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

MB Financial Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for MB Financial's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MB Financial Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

MB Financial Annual Data
Trend Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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MB Financial Quarterly Data
Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of MB Financial's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, MB Financial's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MB Financial's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, MB Financial's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MB Financial's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



MB Financial Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.40%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

MB Financial's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-25.00)/

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


MB Financial  (NAS:MBFIP.PFD) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


MB Financial Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MB Financial's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


MB Financial Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
800 West Madison Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
MB Financial Inc is a financial holding company. The company operates scores of banking offices located primarily in the Chicago metropolitan area through its bank subsidiary, MB Financial Bank. The bank offers an array of financial services primarily to small and middle market businesses and individuals in the markets it serves. Its primary business segments include banking, leasing, and mortgage banking. The company emphasizes and has historically grown through a number of acquisitions. Its banking segment has the following primary lines of business, including commercial banking, lease banking, retail banking, and wealth management. Its loan portfolio is concentrated in business loans, and a substantial portion is secured by real estate.
Executives
Sunil Garg director C/O MB FINANCIAL, INC., 6111 NORTH RIVER ROAD, ROSEMONT IL 60018
John Francoeur officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O MB FINANCIAL, INC., 6111 NORTH RIVER ROAD, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Jennifer W Steans director 50 EAST WASHINGTON STREET SUITE 400, C/O FINANCIAL INVESTMENTS CORPORATION, CHICAGO IL 60602
C. Bryan Daniels director MB FINANCIAL INC/MD, 6111 NORTH RIVER ROAD, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Lawrence Ryan other: EVP of Subsidiary 9550 WEST HIGGINS ROAD, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Michael Morton other: Chief Credit Officer of Sub 9550 WEST HIGGINS ROAD, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Michael Sharkey other: EVP of Subsidiary TAYLOR CAPITAL GROUP, INC., 9550 W. HIGGINS ROAD, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Mark A Hoppe other: CEO & President of Subsidiary 2500 CRABTREE LANE, NORTHBROOK IL 60062
Randall Conte other: COO of Subsidiary 9550 WEST HIGGINS ROAD, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Renee Togher director C/O MB FINANCIAL INC., 6111 N RIVER ROAD, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Edward F Milefchik other: Exec. Officer of Subsidiary C/O MB FINANCIAL INC/MD, 1200 NORTH ASHLAND AVENUE, CHICAGO IL 60622
Mark Alexander Heckler other: Exec. Officer of Subsidiary C/O MB FINANCIAL INC/MD, 1200 NORTH ASHLAND AVENUE, CHICAGO IL 60622
Brian J Wildman other: Exec. Officer of Subsidiary C/O MB FINANCIAL INC, 6111 NORTH RIVER ROAD, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Charles J Gries director C/O OAK BROOK BANK, 1400 SIXTEENTH ST, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Rose Marie Bouman other: Exec Officer of Subsidiary C/O OAK BROOK BANK, 1400 SIXTEENTH ST, OAK BROOK IL 60523