SITO Mobile (SITO Mobile) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-2.77 (As of May. 25, 2024)

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SITO Mobile Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

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Competitive Comparison of SITO Mobile's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Telecom Services subindustry, SITO Mobile's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

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SITO Mobile's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, SITO Mobile's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SITO Mobile's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

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SITO Mobile Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.47%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> SITO Mobile's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.240.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

SITO Mobile's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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SITO Mobile  (OTCPK:STTO) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

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Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

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SITO Mobile Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of SITO Mobile's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Predictability Rank Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Free Cash Flow Free Cash Flow per Share Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)

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SITO Mobile (SITO Mobile) Business Description

Executives

Stephen D Baksa	director
Scott L Kauffman	officer: Chief Executive Officer	260 CHURCHILL AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Priore Mark Del	other: Former Chief Financial Officer	C/O SITO MOBILE, LTD., 100 TOWN SQUARE PLACE, SUITE 204, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310
Itzhak Fisher	director	767 FIFTH AVE STE 4300, NEW YORK NY 10153
Matthew Stecker	director	711 SOUTH BRYN MAWR AVE., BRYN MAWR PA 19010
Thomas Thekkethala	director	9777 PYRAMID COURT, SUITE 100, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Brent David Rosenthal	director	C/O WR HUFF ASSET MANAGEMENT, 67 PARK PLACE, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Betsy J Bernard	director	711 HIGH STREET, DES MOINES IA 50392-0300
Lawrence Firestone	officer: Interim CFO	C/O CVD EQUIPMENT CORPORATION, C/O CVD EQUIPMENT CORPORATION, CENTRAL ISLIP NY 11722
Lowell W Robinson	director	470 WEST END AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10024
Karen Singer	10 percent owner	212 VACCARO DRIVE, CRESSKILL NJ 07626
Philip B Livingston	director	1241 EAST MAIN ST, STAMFORD CT 06902
Stuart Levine	director	3 HUNTINGTON QUADRANGLE, SUITE 200S, MELVILLE NY 11747-8943
James Larry Nelson	director	2747 PARADISE ROAD, PH2804, LAS VEGAS NV 89109