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Move Logistics Group (ASX:MOV) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : A$1.63 (As of Jun. 03, 2025)


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What is Move Logistics Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-06-03), Move Logistics Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$1.63. The stock price of Move Logistics Group is A$0.22. Therefore, Move Logistics Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Move Logistics Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:MOV' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.13   Med: 0.64   Max: 10.63
Current: 0.13

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Move Logistics Group was 10.63. The lowest was 0.13. And the median was 0.64.

ASX:MOV's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
98.73% of 709 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.8 vs ASX:MOV: 0.13

Move Logistics Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Move Logistics Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Move Logistics Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Move Logistics Group Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 2.26 1.46

Move Logistics Group Semi-Annual Data
Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 2.26 - 1.46 -

Competitive Comparison of Move Logistics Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Move Logistics Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Move Logistics Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Move Logistics Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Move Logistics Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Move Logistics Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Move Logistics Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$15.61.

Move Logistics Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*15.609857142857+21.654*0.8)/127.614
=1.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Move Logistics Group  (ASX:MOV) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Move Logistics Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.22/1.3002846738037
=0.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Move Logistics Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Move Logistics Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
24-30 Paraite Road, Bell Block, New Plymouth, TKI, NZL, 4312
Move Logistics Group Ltd offers freight transport and warehousing services throughout New Zealand and coordinates freight movements offshore through international alliances. The company's operating segments include International; Specialist; Freighting; Contract Logistics and Corporate. It generates maximum revenue from the Contract Logistics segment.