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Cheesecake Factory (Cheesecake Factory) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $24.81 (As of Jul. 14, 2024)


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What is Cheesecake Factory Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-07-14), Cheesecake Factory's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.81. The stock price of Cheesecake Factory is $37.97. Therefore, Cheesecake Factory's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cheesecake Factory's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CAKE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.45   Med: 1.24   Max: 1.86
Current: 1.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Cheesecake Factory was 1.86. The lowest was 0.45. And the median was 1.24.

CAKE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
55.61% of 223 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.32 vs CAKE: 1.53

Cheesecake Factory Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cheesecake Factory's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cheesecake Factory Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Cheesecake Factory Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.79 34.88 28.52 24.70 24.57

Cheesecake Factory Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.52 25.01 24.15 24.57 24.81

Competitive Comparison of Cheesecake Factory's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, Cheesecake Factory's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cheesecake Factory's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Cheesecake Factory's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cheesecake Factory's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Cheesecake Factory Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cheesecake Factory's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $91.06.

Cheesecake Factory's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.336311950585*91.05664+332.438*0.8)/48.662
=24.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cheesecake Factory  (NAS:CAKE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cheesecake Factory's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=37.97/24.806630146976
=1.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cheesecake Factory Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cheesecake Factory's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cheesecake Factory (Cheesecake Factory) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
26901 Malibu Hills Road, Calabasas Hills, CA, USA, 91301
Cheesecake Factory owns and operates restaurants in the United States and Canada under brands that include The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and a collection within the Fox Restaurants Concepts subsidiary. The company's international presence, in the Middle East and Mexico, is through licensing agreements with third parties. The company also has a bakery division that produces cheesecakes and other baked products for sale in its restaurants, international licensees, and third-party bakery customers. The company has four operating business segments: The Cheesecake Factory restaurants, North Italia, other FRC, and Flower Child. Majority of the company's revenue comes from The Cheesecake Factory restaurants segment.
Executives
Ashley W Hanscom officer: PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICER 26901 MALIBU HILLS ROAD, CALABASAS HILLS CA 91301
Adam S. Gordon director 26901 MALIBU HILLS ROAD, CALABASAS CA 91301
Edie A Ames director C/O MORTONS RESTATURANT GROUP, INC., 325 LASALLE STREET, SUITE 500, CHICAGO IL 60610
David Bruce Pittaway director 150 E 58TH ST, STE 3700, NEW YORK NY 10155
Khanh Collins director 22825 QUEENSBRIDGE DRIVE, ASHBURN VA 20148
Matthew Eliot Clark officer: VP, Strategic Planning 26901 MALIBU HILLS ROAD, CALABASAS HILLS CA 91301
David M Gordon officer: President C/O THE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED, 26901 MALIBU HILLS DRIVE, CALABASAS HILLS CA 91301
Cheryl Slomann officer: Principal Accounting Officer 6450 VIA REAL, CURPINTERIA CA 93013
David Overton director, officer: Chairman and C.E.O.
Keith Carango officer: President (Subsidiary) 26901 MALIBU HILLS ROAD, CALABASAS HILLS CA 91301
Paul D. Ginsberg director C/O ROARK CAPITAL, 1180 PEACHTREE STREET NE, SUITE 2500, ATLANTA GA 30309
Rc Cake Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 1180 PEACHTREE STREET NE, SUITE 2500, ATLANTA GA 30309
Janice L. Meyer director 26901 MALIBU HILLS ROAD, CALABASAS CA 91301
Laurence B Mindel director IL FORNAIO AMERICA CORP, 770 TAMAPAIS DR STE 400, CORTE MADERA CA 94925
Alexander L Cappello director C/O THE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC, 26901 MALIBU HILLS ROAD, CALABASAS HILLS CA 91301