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CARR (Carrier Global) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $28.49 (As of May. 30, 2025)


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What is Carrier Global Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-05-30), Carrier Global's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $28.49. The stock price of Carrier Global is $71.41. Therefore, Carrier Global's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carrier Global's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CARR' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.23   Med: 2.51   Max: 2.92
Current: 2.51

During the past 8 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Carrier Global was 2.92. The lowest was 2.23. And the median was 2.51.

CARR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
80.17% of 1190 companies
in the Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.94 vs CARR: 2.51

Carrier Global Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Carrier Global's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Carrier Global Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Carrier Global Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 27.18

Carrier Global Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 27.52 27.18 28.49

Competitive Comparison of Carrier Global's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Carrier Global's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carrier Global's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Carrier Global's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carrier Global's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Carrier Global Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Carrier Global's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,464.16.

Carrier Global's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1464.16+13859*0.8)/878.300
=28.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Carrier Global  (NYSE:CARR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Carrier Global's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=71.41/28.494270742056
=2.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Carrier Global Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Carrier Global Business Description

Address
13995 Pasteur Boulevard, Palm Beach Gardens, FL, USA, 33418
Carrier Global provides HVAC and refrigeration products and services that serve the global residential, commercial, and transportation markets. The company's HVAC businesses account for approximately 85% of consolidated revenue, with residential and light commercial HVAC and commercial HVAC representing about 60% and 25% of total revenue, respectively. Carrier's refrigeration segment, which accounts for approximately 15% of consolidated revenue, consists of its transportation refrigeration and Sensitech supply chain monitoring products and services.
Executives
Kyle Crockett officer: Vice President, Controller 13995 PASTEUR BOULEVARD, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33418
Kevin J. O'connor officer: VP, Chief Legal Officer 13995 PASTEUR BOULEVARD, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33418
Ajay Agrawal officer: VP, Strategy & Services 13995 PASTEUR BOULEVARD, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33418
Nadia Villeneuve officer: See Remarks 13995 PASTEUR BOULEVARD, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33418
Jurgen Timperman officer: President, Fire & Security 13995 PASTEUR BOULEVARD, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33418
David L. Gitlin officer: President and CEO UNITED TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION, 10 FARM SPRINGS ROAD, FARMINGTON CT 06032
Susan N Story director ONE ENERGY PLACE, PENSCOLA FL 32520
Timothy N White officer: President, Refrigeration 13995 PASTEUR BOULEVARD, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33418
Christopher John Nelson officer: President, HVAC 13995 PASTEUR BOULEVARD, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33418
David Appel officer: President, Refrigeration 13995 PASTEUR BOULEVARD, PALM BEACH GARDENS GA 33418
Beth Wozniak director 555 WAYZATA BLVD. SUITE 600, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55419
Patrick P. Goris officer: Senior Vice President & CFO 1201 SOUTH SECOND STREET, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
John J Greisch director C/O CATALENT, INC., 14 SCHOOLHOUSE ROAD, SOMERSET NJ 08873
Michael M Mcnamara director C/O FLEXTRONICS INTERNATIONAL LTD, 2090 FORTUNE DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95131
John V Faraci director, officer: Executive Chairman C/O INTERNATIONAL PAPER, 400 ATLANTIC STREET, STAMFORD CT 06921