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Deutsche Post AGDPSTF -0.12%78 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $81.90 as of Aug. 17, 2026, which is 6400% above its 10-year median of 1.26. GuruFocus rates DPSTF with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of $49.04 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review. Among 728 Transportation companies, Deutsche Post AG ranks better than 55.63% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-17), Deutsche Post AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $81.90. The stock price of Deutsche Post AG is $63.22. Therefore, Deutsche Post AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.
The historical rank and industry rank for Deutsche Post AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
DPSTF'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.47 Med: 1.26 Max: 3.11
Current: 0.77
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Deutsche Post AG was 3.11. The lowest was 0.47. And the median was 1.26.
DPSTF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 55.63% of 728
companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.855
vs DPSTF: 0.77
Deutsche Post AG (OTCPK:DPSTF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Deutsche Post AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
63.22
/
79.158808744495
=
0.80
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Deutsche Post AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Deutsche Post AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Deutsche Post AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Deutsche Post AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
DPSTF vs UPS, FDX, JBHT: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Deutsche Post AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Deutsche Post AG Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Transportation Industry
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Deutsche Post AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Deutsche Post AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Deutsche Post AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $81.90 mean?
Deutsche Post AG (DPSTF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $81.90 as of Aug. 17, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Deutsche Post AG and its competitors. This is 6400% above median its historical median of 1.26. Over the past decade, Deutsche Post AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.47 to 3.11. According to the industry distribution chart, Deutsche Post AG ranks #323 out of 728 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 44.4%.
Is Deutsche Post AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Deutsche Post AG's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $81.90 is 6400% above median its 10-year median of 1.26. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.47 to a high of 3.11. The Transportation industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86. Deutsche Post AG's value of $81.90 is 9478.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Deutsche Post AG ranks #323 out of 728 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Deutsche Post AG has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Deutsche Post AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to UPS and FDX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Deutsche Post AG ranks #323 out of 728 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Deutsche Post AG in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86. Deutsche Post AG's value of $81.90 is 9478.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Deutsche Post AG's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.47 to 3.11 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.26 vs. the industry median of 0.86, Deutsche Post AG has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Transportation company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Transportation companies is 0.86, based on 728 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Deutsche Post AG's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $81.90 is 9478.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Deutsche Post AG and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Deutsche Post AG's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $81.90, which is 6400% above median its own 10-year median of 1.26. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Deutsche Post AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Deutsche Post AG (DPSTF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $49.04, compared to a current price of $63.22 — trading 28.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $81.90, which is 6400% above median its 10-year median of 1.26 and 9478.9% above the Transportation industry median of 0.86. Deutsche Post AG's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Deutsche Post AG (DPSTF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $81.90 as of Aug. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Deutsche Post AG (DPSTF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Deutsche Post AG stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $63.22 is trading 28.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $49.04.
GuruFocus considers Deutsche Post AG to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for DPSTF:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $81.90 (6400% above median its 10-year median of 1.26)
GF Value™: $49.04 vs. price of $63.22 (28.9% above fair value)
Industry Position: 9478.9% above the Transportation median (#323 of 728)
No single metric tells the full story. See the DPSTF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Based in Germany, DHL Group ranks among the three dominant integrated global parcel-shipping providers, along with US-based FedEx and UPS. It's also a leading global third-party logistics provider in terms of air and ocean forwarding and outsourced contract logistics markets touching Europe. The DHL divisions (Express, Global Forwarding & Freight, eCommerce Solutions, and Supply Chain) generate roughly 80% of consolidated revenue. Roughly 20% comes from the Post & Parcel Germany division, which includes the legacy German postal operations and the faster growing domestic package delivery business in Germany.
78GF Score
Get the complete analysis for DPSTF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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