EXCH (Exchange Bancshares) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $144.19 (As of Sep. 22, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

EXCH Exchange Bancshares Inc EXCH
50 GF Score
Price $67.42
GF Value $60.96
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Exchange Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Exchange Bancshares EXCH 50 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $144.19 as of Sep. 22, 2026. GuruFocus rates EXCH with a GF Score™ of 50/100 and a GF Value™ of $60.96 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,300 Banks companies, Exchange Bancshares ranks better than 64.38% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-22), Exchange Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $144.19. The stock price of Exchange Bancshares is $67.42. Therefore, Exchange Bancshares's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Exchange Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

EXCH' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.31   Med: 0.37   Max: 0.48
Current: 0.47

During the past 7 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Exchange Bancshares was 0.48. The lowest was 0.31. And the median was 0.37.

EXCH's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
64.38% of 1300 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.6 vs EXCH: 0.47

Exchange Bancshares  (OTCPK:EXCH) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Exchange Bancshares's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=67.42/
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Exchange Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Exchange Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Exchange Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Exchange Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Exchange Bancshares Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 145.02

Exchange Bancshares Quarterly Data
Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 145.02

EXCH vs QNTO, PCLB, GNRV: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Exchange Bancshares's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Exchange Bancshares Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Exchange Bancshares's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Exchange Bancshares's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


EXCH
50GF Score
Exchange Bancshares Inc EXCH
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Exchange Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $144.19 mean?
Exchange Bancshares (EXCH) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $144.19 as of Sep. 22, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Exchange Bancshares and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Exchange Bancshares ranks #463 out of 1300 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 35.6%.
Is Exchange Bancshares' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Exchange Bancshares' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $144.19. The Banks industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.60. Exchange Bancshares' value of $144.19 is 23931.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Exchange Bancshares ranks #463 out of 1300 companies in the Banks industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Exchange Bancshares has a GF Score™ of 50/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Exchange Bancshares' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to QNTO and PCLB?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, Exchange Bancshares ranks #463 out of 1300 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Exchange Bancshares in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.60. Exchange Bancshares' value of $144.19 is 23931.7% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Banks company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Banks companies is 0.60, based on 1,300 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Exchange Bancshares's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $144.19 is 23931.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Exchange Bancshares and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.60 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Exchange Bancshares's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $144.19. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Exchange Bancshares stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Exchange Bancshares (EXCH) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $60.96, compared to a current price of $67.42 — trading 10.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $144.19 and 23931.7% above the Banks industry median of 0.60. Exchange Bancshares' overall GF Score™ is 50/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Exchange Bancshares (EXCH), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $144.19 as of Sep. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Exchange Bancshares (EXCH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Exchange Bancshares stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $67.42 is trading 10.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $60.96. GuruFocus considers Exchange Bancshares to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for EXCH:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $144.19
  • GF Value™: $60.96 vs. price of $67.42 (10.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 50/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 23931.7% above the Banks median (#463 of 1300)

No single metric tells the full story. See the EXCH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Exchange Bancshares Business Description

Address 250 W. Hancock Street, P.O. Box 580, Milledgeville, GA, USA, 31061-0580
Exchange Bancshares Inc operates in the banking industry. The company provides personal checking, personal banking, business banking, mortgage loans, business loans, credit card services, investment services, online banking, mobile deposit, and others.
50GF Score

Get the complete analysis for EXCH

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$67.42
Price
$60.96
GF Value