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Fast Retailing CoFRCOF +3.88%95 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $170.03 as of Aug. 16, 2026, which is 7229% above its 10-year median of 2.32. GuruFocus rates FRCOF with a GF Scoreâ„¢ of 95/100 and a GF Valueâ„¢ of $338.07 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 769 Retail - Cyclical companies, Fast Retailing Co ranks worse than 87.52% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-16), Fast Retailing Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $170.03. The stock price of Fast Retailing Co is $484.415. Therefore, Fast Retailing Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.9.
The historical rank and industry rank for Fast Retailing Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
FRCOF'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.8 Med: 2.32 Max: 4.2
Current: 2.85
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Fast Retailing Co was 4.20. The lowest was 1.80. And the median was 2.32.
FRCOF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 87.52% of 769
companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.79
vs FRCOF: 2.85
Fast Retailing Co (OTCPK:FRCOF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Fast Retailing Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
484.415
/
170.42485561726
=
2.84
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Fast Retailing Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Fast Retailing Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
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The historical data trend for Fast Retailing Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Fast Retailing Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
FRCOF vs TJX, ROST, BURL: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Fast Retailing Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Fast Retailing Co Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Retail - Cyclical Industry
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Fast Retailing Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Fast Retailing Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Fast Retailing Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $170.03 mean?
Fast Retailing Co (FRCOF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $170.03 as of Aug. 16, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Fast Retailing Co and its competitors. This is 7229% above median its historical median of 2.32. Over the past decade, Fast Retailing Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.80 to 4.20. According to the industry distribution chart, Fast Retailing Co ranks #673 out of 769 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 87.5%.
Is Fast Retailing Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Fast Retailing Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $170.03 is 7229% above median its 10-year median of 2.32. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.80 to a high of 4.20. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.79. Fast Retailing Co's value of $170.03 is 21422.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Fast Retailing Co ranks #673 out of 769 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Fast Retailing Co has a GF Scoreâ„¢ of 95/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Fast Retailing Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to TJX and ROST?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Fast Retailing Co ranks #673 out of 769 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Fast Retailing Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.79. Fast Retailing Co's value of $170.03 is 21422.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Fast Retailing Co's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.80 to 4.20 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.32 vs. the industry median of 0.79, Fast Retailing Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Retail - Cyclical companies is 0.79, based on 769 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Fast Retailing Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $170.03 is 21422.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Fast Retailing Co and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.79 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Fast Retailing Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $170.03, which is 7229% above median its own 10-year median of 2.32. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Fast Retailing Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fast Retailing Co (FRCOF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $338.07, compared to a current price of $484.42 — trading 43.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $170.03, which is 7229% above median its 10-year median of 2.32 and 21422.8% above the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 0.79. Fast Retailing Co's overall GF Score™ is 95/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Fast Retailing Co (FRCOF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $170.03 as of Aug. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Fast Retailing Co (FRCOF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fast Retailing Co stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $484.42 is trading 43.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $338.07.
GuruFocus considers Fast Retailing Co to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for FRCOF:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $170.03 (7229% above median its 10-year median of 2.32)
GF Value™: $338.07 vs. price of $484.42 (43.3% above fair value)
Industry Position: 21422.8% above the Retail - Cyclical median (#673 of 769)
No single metric tells the full story. See the FRCOF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Fast Retailing is Japan's largest apparel company. It operates casualwear retail chain Uniqlo, known for its high-quality functional apparel at reasonable prices. Fast Retailing is in charge of product design and sales and outsources almost all of its production to factories in places including China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, Indonesia, and India. It is ranked the second-largest apparel company by sales globally in 2024 per Euromonitor, thanks to the expansion of Uniqlo International. As of February 2025, it ran 3,616 stores globally. Other brands in its portfolio include GU and acquired brands like Theory, Comptoir des Cotonniers, and Princesse tam.tam. The Yanai family owned a 40.86% stake in the firm as of July 2025.
95GF Score
Get the complete analysis for FRCOF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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