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FRCOY (Fast Retailing Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $15.80 (As of May. 31, 2025)


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What is Fast Retailing Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-05-31), Fast Retailing Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $15.80. The stock price of Fast Retailing Co is $33.22. Therefore, Fast Retailing Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fast Retailing Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRCOY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.8   Med: 2.36   Max: 4.2
Current: 2.1

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Fast Retailing Co was 4.20. The lowest was 1.80. And the median was 2.36.

FRCOY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
82.5% of 743 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.76 vs FRCOY: 2.10

Fast Retailing Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fast Retailing Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fast Retailing Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Fast Retailing Co Annual Data
Trend Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.34 7.46 7.83 11.54 14.04

Fast Retailing Co Quarterly Data
May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.75 12.43 14.04 14.58 15.43

Competitive Comparison of Fast Retailing Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Fast Retailing Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fast Retailing Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Fast Retailing Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fast Retailing Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Fast Retailing Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Fast Retailing Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $2,815.46.

Fast Retailing Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Feb25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.918777632373*2815.456+14490.195*0.8)/3072.388
=13.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fast Retailing Co  (OTCPK:FRCOY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Fast Retailing Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=33.22/13.778693966299
=2.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fast Retailing Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Fast Retailing Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10717-1 Sayama, Yamaguchi, Yamaguchi, JPN, 754-0894
Fast Retailing is Japan's largest apparel company, operating the casualwear retail chain Uniqlo known for its high-quality functional apparel at reasonable prices. Fast Retailing is in charge of product design and sales, while outsourcing almost all of its production to factories in places including China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, Indonesia, and India. It is ranked the fourth-largest apparel company by sales globally in 2023 in our estimate, thanks to the expansion of Uniqlo International, which contributed 52% of core operating profit. As at the end of fiscal 2023, it ran 3,578 stores globally. Other brands in its portfolio include GU and acquired brands including Theory, Comptoir des Cotonniers, and Princesse Tam Tam. The Yanai family owned a 40.86% stake in the firm as at June 8, 2024.

Fast Retailing Co Headlines