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Xingfa Aluminium Holdings (HKSE:00098) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$27.76 (As of Jun. 01, 2025)


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What is Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-06-01), Xingfa Aluminium Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$27.76. The stock price of Xingfa Aluminium Holdings is HK$8.05. Therefore, Xingfa Aluminium Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Xingfa Aluminium Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00098' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.25   Med: 0.38   Max: 0.83
Current: 0.29

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Xingfa Aluminium Holdings was 0.83. The lowest was 0.25. And the median was 0.38.

HKSE:00098's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
93.07% of 548 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 1.545 vs HKSE:00098: 0.29

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Xingfa Aluminium Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.46 25.42 22.38 24.52 27.76

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.38 - 24.52 - 27.76

Competitive Comparison of Xingfa Aluminium Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Aluminum subindustry, Xingfa Aluminium Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Xingfa Aluminium Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Xingfa Aluminium Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Xingfa Aluminium Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Xingfa Aluminium Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$530.10.

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.522615765129*530.095+6296.996*0.8)/420.649
=27.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Xingfa Aluminium Holdings  (HKSE:00098) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=8.05/27.756568550065
=0.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Number 5, Zone D, Central Science and Technology Industrial Park, Sanshui District, Guangdong Province, Foshan City, CHN, 528137
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd is engaged in the manufacturing and sale of aluminum profiles which are used in construction and industrial materials. Its segments are Industrial aluminum profiles which manufacture and sell plain aluminum profiles, mainly for industrial usage. The construction aluminum profiles segment derives the majority of revenue from manufacturing and selling aluminum profiles with surface finishing, including anodic oxidation aluminum profiles, electrophoresis coating aluminum profiles, and powder coating aluminum profiles. All other segments include the revenue generated from processing service contracts related to aluminum products, the sale of office premises and residential properties, and the sale of aluminum panels, aluminum alloy, molds, and spare parts.
Executives
Guangxin (hong Kong) Investment Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Guang Dong Sheng Ren Min Zheng Fu Guo You Zi Chan Jian Du Guan Li Wei Yuan Hui 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Guang Dong Sheng Guang Xin Kong Gu Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Law Yung Koon 2101 Beneficial owner
Lam Yuk Ying 2101 Beneficial owner
Guangxin Aluminium (hk) Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Glorious Joy Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Liao Yuqing 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Tmf (cayman) Ltd. 2301 Trustee
Li Shun You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
New Fortune Star Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Xi Xi Development Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
China Lesso Group Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lesso Group Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Ubs Trustees (b.v.i.) Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Headlines

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