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Vico International Holdings (HKSE:01621) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$0.21 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Vico International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-30), Vico International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$0.21. The stock price of Vico International Holdings is HK$0.065. Therefore, Vico International Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vico International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01621' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.31   Med: 0.58   Max: 0.59
Current: 0.31

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Vico International Holdings was 0.59. The lowest was 0.31. And the median was 0.58.

HKSE:01621's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
88.17% of 676 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.85 vs HKSE:01621: 0.31

Vico International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Vico International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Vico International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Vico International Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - 0.18 0.22 0.21

Vico International Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 0.22 - 0.21 -

Competitive Comparison of Vico International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Vico International Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vico International Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Vico International Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vico International Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Vico International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Vico International Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$5.36.

Vico International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*5.3567142857143+203.09*0.8)/1000.000
=0.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Vico International Holdings  (HKSE:01621) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Vico International Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.065/0.21346980339913
=0.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Vico International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Vico International Holdings (HKSE:01621) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 10 Cheung Yue Street, Unit D, 11th Floor, Billion Plaza II, Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong, HKG
Vico International Holdings Ltd is engaged in the business of distribution of petrochemicals products. The company's portfolio of products comprises Diesel, Self-branded and third-party branded lubricant oil, and other petrochemicals such as Bitumen. The operating segments of the group are Sales of diesel; Provision of fleet card service; Sales of lubricant oil and Sales of others. The company derives the majority of its revenue from the Sales of the diesel segment. Geographically, the group has a business presence in Hong Kong; Macau, Vietnam, Dubai, and Malaysia, of which key revenue is generated from Hong Kong.

Vico International Holdings (HKSE:01621) Headlines

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