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ORIXIX -0.67%72 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $27.02 as of Aug. 14, 2026, which is 1887% above its 10-year median of 1.36. GuruFocus rates IX with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of $31.17 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 86 Diversified Financial Services companies, ORIX ranks worse than 59.3% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-14), ORIX's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $27.02. The stock price of ORIX is $40.16. Therefore, ORIX's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.5.
The historical rank and industry rank for ORIX's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
IX'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.86 Med: 1.36 Max: 7.34
Current: 1.49
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of ORIX was 7.34. The lowest was 0.86. And the median was 1.36.
IX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 59.3% of 86
companies
in the Diversified Financial Services industry
Industry Median: 1.075
vs IX: 1.49
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
ORIX's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
40.16
/
26.709526646119
=
1.50
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ORIX Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
ORIX Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for ORIX's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
IX vs FRHC, VOYA: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Financial Conglomerates subindustry, ORIX's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
ORIX Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Diversified Financial Services Industry
For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, ORIX's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where ORIX's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $27.02 mean?
ORIX (IX) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $27.02 as of Aug. 14, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on ORIX and its competitors. This is 1887% above median its historical median of 1.36. Over the past decade, ORIX's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.86 to 7.34. According to the industry distribution chart, ORIX ranks #51 out of 86 companies in the Diversified Financial Services industry, placing it in the top 59.3%.
Is ORIX's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
ORIX's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $27.02 is 1887% above median its 10-year median of 1.36. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.86 to a high of 7.34. The Diversified Financial Services industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.08. ORIX's value of $27.02 is 2413.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, ORIX ranks #51 out of 86 companies in the Diversified Financial Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, ORIX has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ORIX's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to FRHC and VOYA?
According to the Diversified Financial Services industry distribution chart, ORIX ranks #51 out of 86 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places ORIX in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.08. ORIX's value of $27.02 is 2413.5% above this benchmark. Historically, ORIX's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.86 to 7.34 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.36 vs. the industry median of 1.08, ORIX has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Diversified Financial Services company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Diversified Financial Services companies is 1.08, based on 86 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. ORIX's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $27.02 is 2413.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on ORIX and its competitors. For the Diversified Financial Services industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.08 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. ORIX's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $27.02, which is 1887% above median its own 10-year median of 1.36. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ORIX stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ORIX (IX) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $31.17, compared to a current price of $40.16 — trading 28.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $27.02, which is 1887% above median its 10-year median of 1.36 and 2413.5% above the Diversified Financial Services industry median of 1.08. ORIX's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ORIX (IX), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $27.02 as of Aug. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is ORIX (IX) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ORIX stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $40.16 is trading 28.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $31.17.
GuruFocus considers ORIX to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for IX:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $27.02 (1887% above median its 10-year median of 1.36)
GF Value™: $31.17 vs. price of $40.16 (28.8% above fair value)
Industry Position: 2413.5% above the Diversified Financial Services median (#51 of 86)
No single metric tells the full story. See the IX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
ORIX Corp is a diversified financial services company with operations in Corporate Financial Services, Maintenance Leasing, Real Estate, PE Investment and Concession, Environment and Energy, Insurance, Banking and Credit, Aircraft and Ships, ORIX USA, ORIX Europe, Asia, and Australia and engages in various other fee businesses by providing products and services aligned with customer needs to its core customer base of domestic small and medium-sized enterprises. Orix's numerous divisions finance leases of large-ticket items like ships, airplanes, and technology equipment. The company generates the majority of its revenue from Corporate Financial Services and Maintenance Leasing operations and Real Estate operations.
72GF Score
Get the complete analysis for IX
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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