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MercadoLibre (MercadoLibre) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $532.80 (As of Jun. 25, 2024)


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What is MercadoLibre Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-25), MercadoLibre's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $532.80. The stock price of MercadoLibre is $1583.09. Therefore, MercadoLibre's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for MercadoLibre's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MELI' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.54   Med: 4.87   Max: 21.54
Current: 2.97

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of MercadoLibre was 21.54. The lowest was 2.54. And the median was 4.87.

MELI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
88.48% of 738 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.78 vs MELI: 2.97

MercadoLibre Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for MercadoLibre's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MercadoLibre Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

MercadoLibre Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 83.93 116.95 125.96 234.63 443.72

MercadoLibre Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 272.63 332.45 380.36 443.72 532.80

Competitive Comparison of MercadoLibre's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Internet Retail subindustry, MercadoLibre's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MercadoLibre's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, MercadoLibre's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MercadoLibre's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



MercadoLibre Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get MercadoLibre's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,634.94.

MercadoLibre's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*1634.93984+3390*0.8)/50.697
=532.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


MercadoLibre  (NAS:MELI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

MercadoLibre's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1583.09/532.80359834714
=2.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


MercadoLibre Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MercadoLibre's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


MercadoLibre (MercadoLibre) Business Description

Address
WTC Free Zone, Dr. Luis Bonavita 1294, Of. 1733, Tower II, Montevideo, URY, 11300
MercadoLibre runs the largest e-commerce marketplace in Latin America, connecting a network of more than 148 million active users and 1 million active sellers as of the end of 2022 across an 18-country footprint. The company also operates a host of complementary businesses, with shipping solutions (Mercado Envios), a payment and financing operation (Mercado Pago and Mercado Credito), advertisements (Mercado Clics), classifieds, and a turnkey e-commerce solution (Mercado Shops) rounding out its arsenal. MercadoLibre generates revenue from final value fees, advertising royalties, payment processing, insertion fees, subscription fees, and interest income from consumer and small-business lending.
Executives
De La Serna Juan Martin officer: Executive VP Corporate Affairs AV. PTE. PERON 2375, LOTE MN04, PILAR, BUENOS AIRES C1 1629
Emiliano Calemzuk director C/O MERCADOLIBRE, INC., TRONADOR 4890, 8TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1430DNN
Petroni Merhy Andrea Mayumi director HOUSE B, 32 STANLEY VILLAGE ROAD, STANLEY K3 000000
Marcelo Melamud officer: V. P. Chief Accounting Officer TRONADOR 4890, 8TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1430DNN
Richard A Sanders director 80 PALL MALL, LONDON X0 SW1Y 5ES
Ariel Szarfsztejn officer: Executive VP - Commerce POSTA 4789, 6TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1430CRG
Henrique Vasoncelos Dubugras director 1000 LAUREL WAY, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Alejandro Nicolas Aguzin director ARIAS 3751, 7TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1430DNN
Meyer Malka director 364 UNIVERSITY AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Roberto Balls Sallouti director ARIAS 3751, 7TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1 C1430CRG
Stelleo Tolda officer: Country Manager Brazil C/O MERCADOLIBRE, INC., TRONADOR 4890, 8TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1430DNN
Ebay Inc 10 percent owner 2025 HAMILTON AVENUE, SAN JOSE CA 95125
Daniel Rabinovich officer: VP-Chief Technology Officer ARIAS 3751, 7TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1430CRG
A Michael Spence director 121 INNOVATION DR STE 200, IRVINE CA 92612
Pedro Arnt officer: Executive VP and CFO ARIAS 3751, 7TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1430CRG