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Paradox Interactive AB (OSTO:PDX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : kr64.32 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Paradox Interactive AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-27), Paradox Interactive AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is kr64.32. The stock price of Paradox Interactive AB is kr154.10. Therefore, Paradox Interactive AB's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Paradox Interactive AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

OSTO:PDX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.39   Med: 4.02   Max: 7.86
Current: 2.4

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Paradox Interactive AB was 7.86. The lowest was 2.39. And the median was 4.02.

OSTO:PDX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
77.66% of 282 companies
in the Interactive Media industry
Industry Median: 1.185 vs OSTO:PDX: 2.40

Paradox Interactive AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Paradox Interactive AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Paradox Interactive AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Paradox Interactive AB Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 32.56 41.35 50.49 65.93

Paradox Interactive AB Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 52.31 55.73 56.93 65.93 64.32

Competitive Comparison of Paradox Interactive AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia subindustry, Paradox Interactive AB's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Paradox Interactive AB's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Paradox Interactive AB's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Paradox Interactive AB's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Paradox Interactive AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Paradox Interactive AB's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = kr308.67.

Paradox Interactive AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*308.67472+2759.808*0.8)/105.656
=64.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Paradox Interactive AB  (OSTO:PDX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Paradox Interactive AB's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=154.10/64.317897223709
=2.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Paradox Interactive AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Paradox Interactive AB (OSTO:PDX) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Magnus Ladulasgatan 4, Stockholm, SWE, SE-118 66
Paradox Interactive AB is a Swedish company. It is engaged in the development and publishing of PC-based games. The company's product portfolio includes franchise brands such as g Stellaris, Europa Universalis, Hearts of Iron, Crusader Kings, Cities, Skylines, Tyranny and Magicka. Paradox is also involved in the publishing and internal development of games and licensing of White Wolf's brands. The company distributes its games through the digital platform Steam as well as on Apple, Google Play, and Sony stores. It operates its business across the world. The majority of the company's revenue comes from the United States.