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PENG (Penguin Solutions) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $25.54 (As of May. 15, 2025)


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What is Penguin Solutions Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-05-15), Penguin Solutions's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $25.54. The stock price of Penguin Solutions is $19.27. Therefore, Penguin Solutions's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Penguin Solutions's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PENG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.75   Med: 1   Max: 1.96
Current: 0.75

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Penguin Solutions was 1.96. The lowest was 0.75. And the median was 1.00.

PENG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
80.75% of 1335 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.65 vs PENG: 0.75

Penguin Solutions Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Penguin Solutions's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Penguin Solutions Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Penguin Solutions Annual Data
Trend Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 18.73 16.72 20.78

Penguin Solutions Quarterly Data
May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.18 21.86 20.78 21.24 25.54

Competitive Comparison of Penguin Solutions's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Penguin Solutions's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Penguin Solutions's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Penguin Solutions's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Penguin Solutions's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Penguin Solutions Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Penguin Solutions's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $95.28.

Penguin Solutions's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Feb25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*95.28336+602.528*0.8)/54.384
=25.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Penguin Solutions  (NAS:PENG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Penguin Solutions's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=19.27/25.54342248538
=0.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Penguin Solutions Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Penguin Solutions's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Penguin Solutions Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1390 McCarthy Boulevard, Milpitas, CA, USA, 94560
Penguin Solutions Inc is an end-to-end technology company engaged in Intelligent Platform Solutions, Integrated Memory, and Optimized LED business. Its product include Servers, software, OCP HPC & AI system, Racks and Edge. Servers include AMD-based Serves, Intel-based Servers, etc. Software products include Scyld ClusterWare, Scyld Cloud Central, etc. OCP HPC & AI Systems includes OCP Servers & Storage and etc.
Executives
Jack A Pacheco officer: EVP, COO, Pres, Mem Solutions SMART MODULAR TECHNOLOGIES (WWH), INC., 4211 STARBOARD DRIVE, FREMONT CA 94538
Joseph Gates Clark officer: President, LED Solutions C/O SMART MODULAR TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 39870 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560
Mark Adams director, officer: President and CEO 834 TERRACE DRIVE, LOS ALTOS CA 94024
Penny Herscher director 1001 RIDDER PARK DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Ken Rizvi officer: SVP and CFO 39870 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560-4809
David C Laurello officer: President - IPS C/O SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS, INC., 39870 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560
Anne Kuykendall officer: SVP and Chief Legal Officer C/O SMART MODULAR TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 39870 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560
Sandeep Nayyar director C/O SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS, INC., 39870 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560
Mary G Puma director AXCELIS TECHNOLOGIES INC., 108 CHERRY HILL DRIVE, BEVERLY MA 01915
Thierry Pellegrino officer: SVP, Pres. Spec. Computing C/O SMART MODULAR TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 39870 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560
Mark D Papermaster director ONE AMD PLACE, SUNNYVALE CA 94088
Claude Demby officer: SVP, Pres. Cree LED C/O SMART MODULAR TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 39870 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560
Ajay Shah director 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Mukesh Patel director C/O SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS, INC., 39870 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560
Silver Lake (offshore) Aiv Gp Iii, Ltd. 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE PARTNERS, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025