GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » Panda Dairy Corp (SZSE:300898) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Panda Dairy (SZSE:300898) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ¥10.07 (As of Sep. 26, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2020. Start your Free Trial

What is Panda Dairy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-09-26), Panda Dairy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ¥10.07. The stock price of Panda Dairy is ¥17.58. Therefore, Panda Dairy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Panda Dairy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:300898' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.54   Med: 2.94   Max: 4.71
Current: 1.75

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Panda Dairy was 4.71. The lowest was 1.54. And the median was 2.94.

SZSE:300898's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
68.4% of 1234 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.1 vs SZSE:300898: 1.75

Panda Dairy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Panda Dairy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Panda Dairy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Panda Dairy Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.59 10.05 - 6.80 9.57

Panda Dairy Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.31 8.33 9.57 9.33 10.07

Competitive Comparison of Panda Dairy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Panda Dairy's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Panda Dairy's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Panda Dairy's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Panda Dairy's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Panda Dairy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Panda Dairy's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ¥50.45.

Panda Dairy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*50.45152+929.167*0.8)/121.466
=10.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Panda Dairy  (SZSE:300898) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Panda Dairy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=17.58/10.074010907998
=1.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Panda Dairy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Panda Dairy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Panda Dairy Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 650-668, Jianxing East Road, Zhejiang Province, Lingxi Town, Cangnan County, Wenzhou, CHN, 325800
Panda Dairy Corp is engaged in the production and sales of concentrated dairy products. The main products includes Panda sweetened condensed milk, evaporated milk, cheese and phytoprotein beverages.
Executives
Guo Hong Director
Chen Mei Yue Supervisors
Jiang Xian Zong Supervisors
Chen Ping Hua Executives
Lin Wen Zhen Executives

Panda Dairy Headlines

No Headlines