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The Lovesac Co (The Lovesac Co) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $31.76 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is The Lovesac Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), The Lovesac Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $31.76.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

The Lovesac Co's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for The Lovesac Co is 26.39%.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Lovesac Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

LOVE's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry.
Industry Median: 0.895
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

The Lovesac Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Lovesac Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Lovesac Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

The Lovesac Co Annual Data
Trend Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
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The Lovesac Co Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of The Lovesac Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, The Lovesac Co's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Lovesac Co's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, The Lovesac Co's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Lovesac Co's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



The Lovesac Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 14.70%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> The Lovesac Co's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 14.70%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 14.70%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $1.450.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

The Lovesac Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.147)/(1+0.11) = 1.0333333333333
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=1.450*21.901
=31.76

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(31.76-23.38)/31.76
=26.39 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Lovesac Co  (NAS:LOVE) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


The Lovesac Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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The Lovesac Co (The Lovesac Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Two Landmark Square, Suite 300, Stamford, CT, USA, 06901
The Lovesac Co designs, manufactures and sells alternative furniture which is comprised of modular couches called sactionals and premium foam beanbag chairs called sacs. It also offers other accessories such as sactional-specific drink holders, Footsac blankets, decorative pillows, fitted seat tables and ottoman. Its products are sold across the United States through its website or company-owned retail stores which are used in homes and offices. Majority of the firm's revenue gets derives from the sale of Sactionals.
Executives
Andrew R Heyer director, 10 percent owner 501 MADISON AVENUE, FLOOR 5, NEW YORK NY 10019
Shawn David Nelson director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 2 LANDMARK SQUARE, SUITE 300, STAMFORD CT 06820
Satori Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 2501 N. HARWOOD ST., 20TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75201
Keith R. Siegner officer: EVP and CFO TWO LANDMARK SQUARE, SUITE 300, STAMFORD CT 06901
Vineet Mehra director 330 HUDSON STREET, 13TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10013
Sharon M Leite director 100 PIER 1 PLACE, FT. WORTH TX 76102
Shirley Romig director TWO LANDMARK SQUARE, SUITE 300, STAMFORD CT 06901
Albert Jack Krause director, officer: President and COO 2 LANDMARK SQUARE, SUITE 300, STAMFORD CT 06820
Walter Field Mclallen director 1225 17TH AVE SOUTH, NASHVILLE TN 37212
Mary Fox director TWO LANDMARK SQUARE, SUITE 300, STAMFORD CT 06901
Mistral Equity Partners, Lp 10 percent owner 650 FIFTH AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, New York NY 10019
Mistral Sac Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 650 FIFTH AVENUE, FLOOR 10, NEW YORK NY 10019
Jared Rubin director 4300 E. FIFTH AVE., COLUMBUS OH 43219
Sac Acquisition Llc 10 percent owner 700 CANAL STREET, 4TH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06902
Donna Dellomo officer: Executive VP and CFO 35 SAWGRASS DRIVE, SUITE 2, BELLPORT NY 11713

The Lovesac Co (The Lovesac Co) Headlines

From GuruFocus

LOVESAC INVESTOR DEADLINE APPROACHING

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