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Assurant Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $146.19 (As of Today)
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As of today (2021-12-06), Assurant's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $146.19.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Assurant's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Assurant is -4.13%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Assurant's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Assurant was 3.02. The lowest was 0.51. And the median was 0.69.


Assurant Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Assurant's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Assurant Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Assurant Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Assurant Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 8%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5.10%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 5.10% which is less than 20% and higher than 5% => Growth Rate: 5.10%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $9.837.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Assurant's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.051)/(1+0.08) = 0.97314814814815
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.08) = 0.96296296296296

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=9.837*14.8617
=146.19

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(146.19-152.23)/146.19
=-4.13 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Assurant  (NYSE:AIZ) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Assurant Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Assurant's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Assurant Business Description

Assurant logo
Industry
Financial Services » Insurance NAICS : 524298 SIC : 6411
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
55 Broadway, Suite 2901, New York, NY, USA, 10006
Assurant Inc offers a range of property-casualty, health, employee benefit, and warranty insurance to a client base made up of individuals and institutions. The company has four reportable segments namely Global Housing, Global Lifestyle, Global Preneed and Total Corporate and Other. Global Housing segment provides lender-placed homeowners, manufactured housing, flood insurance, and other related products, Global Lifestyle provides mobile device protection and related services, Global Preneed is engaged in providing pre-funded funeral insurance and annuity products whereas Total Corporate and others includes activities related to holding company primarily related to the company's frozen benefit plans. It generates a majority of its revenue from the Global Lifestyle Segment.
Executives
Dirienzo Dimitry officer: SVP, CAO, Controller C/O ASSURANT, INC. 28 LIBERTY ST. 41 F. NEW YORK NY 10005
Mergelmeyer Gene officer: EVP, COO ASSURANT, INC. 28 LIBERTY ST. 41 FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10005
Dziadzio Richard S officer: EVP and CFO C/O ALLIANCE CAPITAL 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK NY 10105
Luthi Francesca officer: EVP, CAO 1180 NORTH TOWN CENTER DRIVE SUITE 100 LAS VEGAS NV 89144
Rosenblum Jay officer: EVP and CLO C/O ASSURANT, INC. 28 LIBERTY ST, 41ST FL. NEW YORK NY 10005
Carter J Braxton Ii director C/O T-MOBILE US, INC. 12920 SE 38TH STREET BELLEVUE WA 98006
Jackson Lawrence V director C/O ASSURANT, INC., 28 LIBERTY ST., 41 F NEW YORK NY 10005
Redzic Ognjen director C/O ASSURANT, INC. 28 LIBERTY STREET, 41ST FL. NEW YORK NY 10005
Stein Robert W director ASSURANT, INC. ONE CHASE MANHATTAN PLAZA, 41 FL. NEW YORK NY 10005
Cento Juan director ASSURANT, INC. ONE CHASE MANHATTAN PLAZA, 41 FL. NEW YORK NY 10005
Alves Paget Leonard director SPRINT NEXTEL 6200 SPRINT PARKWAY KSOPHF0410 - 4A403 OVERLAND PARK KS 66251
Perry Debra J director 515 RIDGEWOOD AVENUE GLEN RIDGE NJ 07028
Rosen Elaine director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: ROSEN ELAINE a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Edelman Harriet director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: EDELMAN HARRIET a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Reilly Paul J director C/O ASSURANT, INC. 28 LIBERTY STREET, 41ST FL. NEW YORK NY 10005

Assurant Headlines

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