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Skyworks Solutions (NAS:SWKS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $233.64 (As of Today)
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As of today (2023-06-09), Skyworks Solutions's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $233.64.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Skyworks Solutions's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Skyworks Solutions is 54.80%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Skyworks Solutions's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SWKS' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.28   Med: 0.56   Max: 1.81
Current: 0.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Skyworks Solutions was 1.81. The lowest was 0.28. And the median was 0.56.

SWKS's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked better than
82.27% of 141 companies
in the Semiconductors industry
Industry Median: 0.82 vs SWKS: 0.45

Skyworks Solutions Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Skyworks Solutions's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Skyworks Solutions Annual Data
Trend Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 173.08 205.55 224.32 377.82 262.97

Skyworks Solutions Quarterly Data
Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 312.81 299.13 262.97 247.13 233.64

Skyworks Solutions Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 19.70%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 19.70% which is less than 20% and higher than 5% => Growth Rate: 19.70%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $6.930.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Skyworks Solutions's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.197)/(1+0.1) = 1.0881818181818
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=6.930*33.7143
=233.64

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(233.64-105.60)/233.64
=54.80 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Skyworks Solutions  (NAS:SWKS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Skyworks Solutions Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Skyworks Solutions's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Skyworks Solutions (NAS:SWKS) Business Description

Skyworks Solutions logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5260 California Avenue, Irvine, CA, USA, 92617
Skyworks Solutions produces semiconductors for wireless handsets and other devices that are used to enable wireless connectivity. Its main products include power amplifiers, filters, switches, and integrated front-end modules that support wireless transmissions. Skyworks' customers are mostly large smartphone manufacturers, but the firm also has a growing presence in nonhandset applications such as wireless routers, medical devices, and automobiles.
Executives
Suzanne E. Mcbride director C/O IRIDIUM COMMUNICATIONS INC., 1750 TYSONS BOULEVARD, SUITE 1400, MCLEAN VA 22102
Eric Guerin director 1950 HASSELL ROAD, HOFFMAN ESTATES IL 60169
Reza Kasnavi officer: SVP, Tech. & Manufacturing 5260 CALIFORNIA AVENUE, IRVINE CA 92617
Karilee A Durham officer: SVP, Human Resources 5260 CALIFORNIA AVENUE, IRVINE CA 92617
Alan S. Batey director 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, M/C: 482-C25-A36, DETROIT MI 48265-3000
Kimberly S Stevenson director 199 FREMONT STREET, 7TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Carlos S Bori officer: VP, Sales & Marketing 5260 CALIFORNIA AVENUE, IRVINE CA 92617
Robert John Terry officer: VP, General Counsel &Secretary 5260 CALIFORNIA AVENUE, IRVINE CA 92617
Kris Sennesael officer: SVP & Chief Financial Officer 5260 CALIFORNIA AVENUE, IRVINE CA 92617
Laura A Gasparini officer: VP, Human Resources 20 SYLVAN ROAD, WOBURN MA 01801
Peter L Gammel officer: Chief Technology Officer 600 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10021
Victoria Vezina officer: VP, Human Resources 20 SYLVAN ROAD, WOBURN MA 01801
Christine King director AMIS HOLDINGS, INC., 2300 BUCKSKIN RD, POCATELLO ID 83201
Bruce J Freyman officer: Vice President - Operations 5221 CALIFORNIA AVE., IRVINE CA 92617
Donald W Palette officer: V. P., Chief Financial Officer 20 SYLVAN ROAD, WOBURN MA 01801

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