MasTec (NYSE:MTZ) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

: $27.77 (As of Today)

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As of today (2023-01-27), MasTec's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $27.77.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

MasTec's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for MasTec is -247.97%.

The industry rank for MasTec's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

MTZ's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is ranked worse than
76.64% of 137 companies
in the Construction industry
Industry Median: 1.14 vs MTZ: 3.48

MasTec Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for MasTec's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MasTec Annual Data

Trend

Dec12

Dec13

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

3.43

61.23

82.45

158.62

124.36

MasTec Quarterly Data
	Dec17	Mar18	Jun18	Sep18	Dec18	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)																118.24	124.36	84.56	34.19	27.77

MasTec Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average free cash flow growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $2.224.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

MasTec's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.1) = 0.95454545454545
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

2.224

12.485

27.77

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(27.77	-	96.63)	/	27.77
	=	-247.97 %

MasTec (NYSE:MTZ) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

MasTec Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MasTec's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

MasTec (NYSE:MTZ) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » MasTec Inc (NYSE:MTZ) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

MY8:Germany MY8:Germany

Address

800 S. Douglas Road, 12th Floor, Coral Gables, FL, USA, 33134

Website

http://www.mastec.com

MasTec Inc is a leading infrastructure construction company operating primarily throughout North America. Its principal activities include engineering, building, installation, maintenance, and upgrades of communications, energy, and utility infrastructure. The company installs wireless, wireline, and satellite communications; oil and gas pipeline infrastructure; conventional and renewable power generation; and other industrial systems. MasTec has five operating segments: Communications, Oil and Gas, Power Delivery, Clean Energy and Infrastructure, and Others. The majority of its revenue is derived from the Communications segments. The company markets services individually and in combination with other companies to provide a wide range of solutions for customers.

Executives

Parker Ava L	director	1469 HARRINGTON PARK DRIVE JACKSONVILLE FL 32225
Palomarez Javier Alberto	director	3405 PINNEY POINT DRIVE FLOWER MOUND TX 75022
Pita George	officer: CFO	3000 NW 107TH AVENUE MIAMI FL 33172
Restrepo Daniel A	director	C/O MASTEC, INC. 800 S. DOUGLAS RD., 12TH FLOOR CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Harris Ray	officer: President	800 DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FLOOR - MASTEC CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Apple Robert E	officer: Chief Operations Officer	800 S DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FLOOR CORAL GABLES FL 33134
De Cardenas Alberto I	officer: Executive Vice President	800 S DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FLOOR CORAL GABLES X1 33134
Csiszar Ernst N	director	2600 S RIVER ROAD DES PLAINES IL 60018
Floerke Gregory Scott	officer: Chief Operations Officer	C/O MARKWEST ENERGY PARTNERS, L.P. 1515 ARAPAHOE STREET, TOWER 1, SUITE 160 DENVER CO 80202
Dwyer Robert J	director	880 SOUTH OCEAN BOULEVARD PALM BEACH FL 33480
Campbell C Robert	officer: EVP & CFO	800 DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FLOOR CORAL GABLES FL 33134
De Cespedes Carlos M	director	3075 NW 107TH AVE MIAMI FL 33172
Jaumot Frank E	director	190 SE 19TH AVENUE POMPANO BEACH FL 33060
Nearing Michael	officer: General Counsel and EVP	800 DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FL CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Hudson Sherrill W	director	201 SOUTH BISCAYNE BOULEVARD 34TH FLOOR, MIAMI CENTER MIAMI FL 33131