General Mills (NYSE:GIS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

: $38.70 (As of Today)

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As of today (2023-03-30), General Mills's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $38.70.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history with more than 5 years. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, the data will not be stored into our database.

General Mills's Predictability Rank is 2-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for General Mills is -119.72%.

The historical rank and industry rank for General Mills's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

GIS' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.04 Med: 1.64 Max: 2.84
Current: 2.2

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of General Mills was 2.84. The lowest was 1.04. And the median was 1.64.

GIS's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked worse than
51.83% of 218 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 2.12 vs GIS: 2.20

General Mills Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for General Mills's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

General Mills Annual Data

Trend

May13

May14

May15

May16

May17

May18

May19

May20

May21

May22

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

55.05

44.47

General Mills Quarterly Data
	May18	Aug18	Nov18	Feb19	May19	Aug19	Nov19	Feb20	May20	Aug20	Nov20	Feb21	May21	Aug21	Nov21	Feb22	May22	Aug22	Nov22	Feb23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)																55.59	44.47	37.61	38.15	38.70

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, General Mills's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Annual Data Quarterly Data

General Mills Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, General Mills's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where General Mills's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)'s extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.

General Mills Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. H-Model formula is applied here, in which dividends are used in the calculation with two stage of dividend growth. The calculation for H-Model DDM valuation shows as below.

The H-model formula consists of two parts. The first component of the equation adds the value from the high growth rate period, which is called growth stage. The second component of the formula considers the value of the stock based on the long-term growth rate, which is called the terminal stage. It ignores the high growth rate period. In the growth stage, the dividends of company grows at a faster rate. As it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average dividend growth rate in the past 5 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 1.10% which is lower than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: dividends per share = $2.130.
GuruFocus DCF calculator applies H-Model to the calculation here, using dividends per share TTM as the default.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

General Mills's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

( g1

g2 )

( d

g2 )

y1 / 2

Dividends per Share

( 1

g2 )

( d

g2 )

2.130

(0.05

0.04)

(0.1

0.04)

10 / 2

2.130

( 1

0.04)

(0.1

0.04)

38.70

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(38.7	-	85.03)	/	38.7
	=	-119.72 %

General Mills (NYSE:GIS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 5 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

General Mills Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of General Mills's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

General Mills (NYSE:GIS) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » General Mills Inc (NYSE:GIS) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

GIS:Mexico GRM:Germany G1MI34:Brazil

Address

Number One General Mills Boulevard, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55426

Website

https://www.generalmills.com

General Mills is a leading global packaged food company that produces snacks, cereal, convenient meals, yogurt, dough, baking mixes and ingredients, pet food, and superpremium ice cream. Its largest brands are Nature Valley, Cheerios, Old El Paso, Yoplait, Pillsbury, Betty Crocker, BLUE, and Haagen-Dazs. In fiscal 2022, 77% of its revenue was derived from the United States, although the company also operates in Canada, Europe, Australia, Asia, and Latin America. While most of General Mills' products are sold through retail stores to consumers, the company also sells products into the food-service channel and the commercial baking industry.

Executives

C Kim Goodwin	director	C/O AKAMAI TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 8 CAMBRIDGE CENTER, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Karen Wilson Thissen	officer: General Counsel & Secretary	1098 AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL CENTER, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474
Paul Joseph Gallagher	officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer	1 GENERAL MILLS BLVD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426
Jaime Montemayor	officer: Chief Technology Officer	NUMBER ONE GENERAL MILLS BLVD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426
Mark A Pallot	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	NUMBER ONE GENERAL MILLS BLVD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426
Jo Ann Jenkins	director	2211 SOUTH 47TH STREET, PHOENIX AZ 85034
Dana M Mcnabb	officer: Group President	NUMBER ONE GENERAL MILLS BLVD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426
Elizabeth Cahill Lempres	director	TWO COMMERCE SQUARE, 2001 MARKET STREET, SUITE 3600, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Sean N Walker	officer: Group President	NUMBER ONE GENERAL MILLS BLVD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426
Diane L Neal	director
Jodi J Benson	officer: Chief Innovation Officer	GENERAL MILLS, INC., ONE GENERAL MILLS BLVD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426
Maria Sastre	director	C/O DARDEN RESTAURANTS, INC., 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Bishop William W Jr	officer: Group President	C/O BLUE BUFFALO PET PRODUCTS, INC., 11 RIVER ROAD, WILTON CT 06897
Kofi A Bruce	officer: Vice President	GENERAL MILLS, INC., ONE GENERAL MILLS BLVD., MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426
Ivan Pollard	officer: Senior Vice President	GENERAL MILLS, INC., ONE GENERAL MILLS BLVD., MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426