MercadoLibre (NAS:MELI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

: $0.00 (As of Today)

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As of today (2023-03-27), MercadoLibre's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history with more than 5 years. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, the data will not be stored into our database.

MercadoLibre's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for MercadoLibre is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for MercadoLibre's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of MercadoLibre was 12.73. The lowest was 8.82. And the median was 11.94.

MercadoLibre Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for MercadoLibre's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MercadoLibre Annual Data

Trend

Dec13

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

MercadoLibre Quarterly Data
	Mar18	Jun18	Sep18	Dec18	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)																-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison

For the Internet Retail subindustry, MercadoLibre's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Annual Data Quarterly Data

MercadoLibre Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, MercadoLibre's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MercadoLibre's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)'s extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.

MercadoLibre Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. H-Model formula is applied here, in which dividends are used in the calculation with two stage of dividend growth. The calculation for H-Model DDM valuation shows as below.

The H-model formula consists of two parts. The first component of the equation adds the value from the high growth rate period, which is called growth stage. The second component of the formula considers the value of the stock based on the long-term growth rate, which is called the terminal stage. It ignores the high growth rate period. In the growth stage, the dividends of company grows at a faster rate. As it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average dividend growth rate in the past 5 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 0.00% which is lower than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: dividends per share = $0.000.
GuruFocus DCF calculator applies H-Model to the calculation here, using dividends per share TTM as the default.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

MercadoLibre's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

( g1

g2 )

( d

g2 )

y1 / 2

Dividends per Share

( 1

g2 )

( d

g2 )

0.000

(0.05

0.04)

(0.1

0.04)

10 / 2

0.000

( 1

0.04)

(0.1

0.04)

0.00

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(0	-	1191.79)	/	0
	=	N/A

MercadoLibre (NAS:MELI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 5 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

MercadoLibre Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MercadoLibre's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

MercadoLibre (NAS:MELI) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » MercadoLibre Inc (NAS:MELI) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

MELI:Mexico MLB1:Germany MELI34:Brazil MELI:Austria MELI:Argentina

Address

WTC Free Zone, Dr. Luis Bonavita 1294, Of. 1733, Tower II, Montevideo, URY, 11300

Website

https://www.mercadolibre.com

MercadoLibre runs the largest e-commerce marketplace in Latin America, connecting a network of more than 140 million active users and 1 million active sellers as of the end of 2021 across an 18-country footprint. The company also operates a host of complementary businesses, with shipping solutions (Mercado Envios), a payment and financing operation (Mercado Pago), advertisements (Mercado Clics), classifieds, and a turnkey e-commerce solution (Mercado Shops) rounding out its arsenal. MercadoLibre generates revenue from final value fees, advertising royalties, payment processing, insertion fees, subscription fees, and interest income from consumer and small-business lending.

Executives

Petroni Merhy Andrea Mayumi	director	HOUSE B, 32 STANLEY VILLAGE ROAD, STANLEY K3 000000
De La Serna Juan Martin	officer: Executive VP Corporate Affairs	AV. PTE. PERON 2375, LOTE MN04, PILAR, BUENOS AIRES C1 1629
Richard A Sanders	director	80 PALL MALL, LONDON X0 SW1Y 5ES
Ariel Szarfsztejn	officer: Executive VP - Commerce	POSTA 4789, 6TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1430CRG
Henrique Vasoncelos Dubugras	director	1000 LAUREL WAY, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Meyer Malka	director	C/O MERCADOLIBRE, INC., ARIAS 3751, 7TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1C1430CRG
Roberto Balls Sallouti	director	ARIAS 3751, 7TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1 C1430CRG
Emiliano Calemzuk	director	C/O MERCADOLIBRE, INC., TRONADOR 4890, 8TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1430DNN
Alejandro Nicolas Aguzin	director	ARIAS 3751, 7TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1430DNN
Ebay Inc	10 percent owner	2025 HAMILTON AVENUE, SAN JOSE CA 95125
Javier Olivan	director	62 RIDGE VIEW DRIVE, ATHERTON X1 94027
Susan Segal	director
Pedro Arnt	officer: Executive VP and CFO	ARIAS 3751, 7TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1430CRG
Daniel Rabinovich	officer: VP-Chief Technology Officer	ARIAS 3751, 7TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1430CRG
Marcelo Melamud	officer: V. P. Chief Accounting Officer	TRONADOR 4890, 8TH FLOOR, BUENOS AIRES C1 C1430DNN