Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2023-12-10), Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $80.90. The stock price of Apple is $195.71. Therefore, Apple's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.4.
The historical rank and industry rank for Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
AAPL'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.76 Med: 1.19 Max: 2.45
Current: 2.42
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Apple was 2.45. The lowest was 0.76. And the median was 1.19.
AAPL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 69.53% of 1618
companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.43
vs AAPL: 2.42
Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
The historical data trend for Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Apple Annual Data
Trend
Sep14
Sep15
Sep16
Sep17
Sep18
Sep19
Sep20
Sep21
Sep22
Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
48.58
47.25
60.85
71.25
80.90
Apple Quarterly Data
Dec18
Mar19
Jun19
Sep19
Dec19
Mar20
Jun20
Sep20
Dec20
Mar21
Jun21
Sep21
Dec21
Mar22
Jun22
Sep22
Dec22
Mar23
Jun23
Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
71.25
74.80
75.86
78.31
80.90
Competitive Comparison
For the Consumer Electronics subindustry, Apple's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Apple Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution
For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Apple's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Apple's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Apple (NAS:AAPL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Apple's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
195.71
/
80.897018588442
=
2.42
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Apple designs a wide variety of consumer electronic devices, including smartphones (iPhone), tablets (iPad), PCs (Mac), smartwatches (Apple Watch), and AirPods, among others. In addition, Apple offers its customers a variety of services such as Apple Music, iCloud, Apple Care, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple Fitness, Apple Card, and Apple Pay, among others. Apple's products include internally developed software and semiconductors, and the firm is well known for its integration of hardware, software, semiconductors, and services. Apple's products are distributed online as well as through company-owned stores and third-party retailers.
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