Apple (NAS:AAPL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $75.86 (As of Today)

View and export this data going back to 1980. Start your Free Trial

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2023-06-04), Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $75.86. The stock price of Apple is $180.95. Therefore, Apple's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AAPL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.67 Med: 1.5 Max: 5.67
Current: 2.39

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Apple was 5.67. The lowest was 0.67. And the median was 1.50.

AAPL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
68.34% of 1576 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.48 vs AAPL: 2.39

Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Apple Annual Data

Trend

Sep13

Sep14

Sep15

Sep16

Sep17

Sep18

Sep19

Sep20

Sep21

Sep22

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

46.03

48.58

47.25

60.85

71.25

Apple Quarterly Data
	Jun18	Sep18	Dec18	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF																67.21	69.06	71.25	74.80	75.86

Competitive Comparison

For the Consumer Electronics subindustry, Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Annual Data Quarterly Data

Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF's extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.

Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Apple's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $77,536.00.

Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	=	(Growth Multiple	*	Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)	+	Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)	*	0.8)	/	Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
	=	(14.862653310476	*	77536	+	62158	*	0.8)	/	15847.050
	=	75.86

Apple (NAS:AAPL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Apple's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF	=	Share Price	/	Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
	=	180.95	/	75.857467925012
	=	2.39

Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Apple (NAS:AAPL) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Apple Inc (NAS:AAPL) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Traded in Other Exchanges

AAPL:Peru AAPL:Mexico AAPL:Italy 0R2V:UK APC:Germany AAPL:Chile AAPL:Canada AAPL34:Brazil AAPL:Austria AAPL:Argentina

Address

One Apple Park Way, Cupertino, CA, USA, 95014

Website

https://www.apple.com

Apple designs a wide variety of consumer electronic devices, including smartphones (iPhone), tablets (iPad), PCs (Mac), smartwatches (Apple Watch), and AirPods. The iPhone makes up most of Apple's total revenue. In addition, Apple offers its customers a variety of services such as Apple Music, iCloud, Apple Care, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple Fitness, Apple Card, and Apple Pay, among others. Apple's products include internally developed software and semiconductors, and the firm is well known for its integration of hardware, software, semiconductors, and services. Apple's products are distributed online as well as through company-owned stores and third-party retailers. The company generates roughly 40% of its revenue from the Americas, with the remainder earned internationally.

Executives

Alex Gorsky	director	JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Monica C Lozano	director
Deirdre O'brien	officer: Senior Vice President	ONE APPLE PARK WAY, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Robert A Iger	director	C/O WALT DISNEY CO, 500 S BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521-1062
Andrea Jung	director	C/O APPLE INC, ONE APPLE PARK WAY, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Susan Wagner	director	C/O BLACKROCK, INC., 40 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
James A Bell	director	C/O THE DOW CHEMICAL COMPANY, 2211 H.H. DOW WAY, MIDLAND MI 48674
Albert Jr Gore	director	C/O APPLE INC, 1 INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Ronald D Sugar	director	10877 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 1650, LOS ANGELES CA 900274
Katherine L. Adams	officer: SVP, General Counsel	APPLE INC., 1 INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Luca Maestri	officer: Senior Vice President, CFO	1 INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Angela J Ahrendts	officer: Senior Vice President	1 INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Jeffrey E Williams	officer: COO	ONE INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Philip W Schiller	officer: Senior Vice President	C/O APPLE INC, ONE INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Eduardo H Cue	officer: Senior Vice President	1 INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014