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Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $69.06 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2022-09-25), Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $69.06. The stock price of Apple is $150.43. Therefore, Apple's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AAPL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.67   Med: 1.45   Max: 5.67
Current: 2.18

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Apple was 5.67. The lowest was 0.67. And the median was 1.45.

AAPL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
67.89% of 1554 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.36 vs AAPL: 2.18

Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Apple Annual Data
Trend Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.51 46.03 48.58 47.25 60.85

Apple Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 59.79 60.85 66.65 67.21 69.06

Competitive Comparison

For the Consumer Electronics subindustry, Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Apple's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $72,440.32.

Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*72440.32+58107*0.8)/16262.203
=69.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Apple  (NAS:AAPL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Apple's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=150.43/69.064502629806
=2.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Apple Business Description

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Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Apple Inc (NAS:AAPL) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Address
One Apple Park Way, Cupertino, CA, USA, 95014
Apple designs a wide variety of consumer electronic devices, including smartphones (iPhone), tablets (iPad), PCs (Mac), smartwatches (Apple Watch), AirPods, and TV boxes (Apple TV), among others. The iPhone makes up the majority of Apple's total revenue. In addition, Apple offers its customers a variety of services such as Apple Music, iCloud, Apple Care, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple Card, and Apple Pay, among others. Apple's products run internally developed software and semiconductors, and the firm is well known for its integration of hardware, software and services. Apple's products are distributed online as well as through company-owned stores and third-party retailers. The company generates roughly 40% of its revenue from the Americas, with the remainder earned internationally.
Executives
Gorsky Alex director JOHNSON & JOHNSON ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Lozano Monica C director
O'brien Deirdre officer: Senior Vice President ONE APPLE PARK WAY CUPERTINO CA 95014
Iger Robert A director C/O WALT DISNEY CO 500 S BUENA VISTA STREET BURBANK CA 91521-1062
Jung Andrea director C/O APPLE INC ONE APPLE PARK WAY CUPERTINO CA 95014
Wagner Susan director C/O BLACKROCK, INC. 40 EAST 52ND STREET NEW YORK NY 10022
Bell James A director C/O THE DOW CHEMICAL COMPANY 2211 H.H. DOW WAY MIDLAND MI 48674
Gore Albert Jr director C/O APPLE INC 1 INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014
Sugar Ronald D director 10877 WILSHIRE BLVD. SUITE 1650 LOS ANGELES CA 900274
Adams Katherine L. officer: SVP, General Counsel APPLE INC. 1 INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014
Maestri Luca officer: Senior Vice President, CFO 1 INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014
Ahrendts Angela J officer: Senior Vice President 1 INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014
Williams Jeffrey E officer: COO ONE INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014
Schiller Philip W officer: Senior Vice President C/O APPLE INC ONE INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014
Cue Eduardo H officer: Senior Vice President 1 INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014

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