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Northrop Grumman Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $226.27 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2022-08-16), Northrop Grumman's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $226.27. The stock price of Northrop Grumman is $485.50. Therefore, Northrop Grumman's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Northrop Grumman's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NOC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.47   Med: 1.02   Max: 6.52
Current: 2.15

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Northrop Grumman was 6.52. The lowest was 0.47. And the median was 1.02.

NOC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
63.06% of 157 companies
in the Aerospace & Defense industry
Industry Median: 1.71 vs NOC: 2.15

Northrop Grumman Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Northrop Grumman's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Northrop Grumman Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 183.59 205.07 199.04 226.33 253.86

Northrop Grumman Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 238.41 243.65 253.86 227.99 226.27

Competitive Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Northrop Grumman's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Northrop Grumman Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Northrop Grumman's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Northrop Grumman's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Northrop Grumman Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Northrop Grumman's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $2,142.72.

Northrop Grumman's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.37706741589*2142.72+13651*0.8)/156.000
=226.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Northrop Grumman  (NYSE:NOC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Northrop Grumman's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=485.50/226.27352495753
=2.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Northrop Grumman Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Northrop Grumman's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Northrop Grumman Business Description

Northrop Grumman logo
Address
2980 Fairview Park Drive, Falls Church, VA, USA, 22042
Northrop Grumman is a defense contractor that is diversified across short-cycle and long-cycle businesses. The firm's segments include aeronautics, mission systems, defense services, and space systems. The company's aerospace segment creates the fuselage for the massive F-35 program and produces various piloted and autonomous flight systems. Mission systems creates a variety of sensors and processors for defense hardware. The defense systems segment is a mix between a long-range missile manufacturer and a defense IT service provider. Finally, the company's space systems segment produces various space structures, sensors, and satellites.
Executives
Bromberg Matthew Fox officer: CVP, Global Operations 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Wilson Thomas L Jr officer: CVP and Pres. Space Systems 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Robinson Graham director 1000 STANLEY DRIVE NEW BRITAIN CT 06053
Jones Thomas H officer: CVP & Pres Aeronautics Systems 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Abney David P director 55 GLENLAKE PARWAY, NE ATLANTA GA 30328
Brown Marianne Catherine director 4094 TIMUQUANA ROAD JACKSONVILLE FL 33210-8571
Keffer David F officer: CVP & Chief Financial Officer 3170 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Petryszyn Mary D officer: CVP, Pres, Defense Systems 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Bush Wesley G director, officer: Chairman 333 MAPLE AVENUE EAST #3080 VIENNA VA 22180
Ryan Lucy C officer: Corp VP, Communications 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Addison Ann M officer: Corporate Vice President 11951 FREEDOM DRIVE RESTON VA 20190
Larson Blake E officer: Vice President, other: Corp VP & Pres, NGIS 5050 LINCOLN DRIVE EDINA MN 55436
Kalan Lesley A officer: Corp VP, Government Relations 805 VASSAR ROAD ALEXANDRIA VA 22314
Purvis Shawn N officer: CVP, President, Enterprise Svc 9672 CRECY LANE MANASSAS VA 20110
Pamiljans Janis G officer: Corp VP & President AS Systems 212 LANSING ISLAND DRIVE INDIAN HARBOUR BEACH FL 32937

Northrop Grumman Headlines

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