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GFH Financial Group BSC (ADX:GFH) Beneish M-Score : -2.67 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is GFH Financial Group BSC Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for GFH Financial Group BSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ADX:GFH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.49   Med: -2.64   Max: 3.27
Current: -2.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of GFH Financial Group BSC was 3.27. The lowest was -3.49. And the median was -2.64.


GFH Financial Group BSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of GFH Financial Group BSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9991+0.892 * 1.1985+0.115 * 0.6227
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8351+4.679 * -0.077703-0.327 * 0.9599
=-2.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Revenue was د.إ961.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was د.إ961.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was د.إ40,849.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was د.إ1,009.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was د.إ41.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was د.إ124.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was د.إ7,802.5 Mil.
Net Income was د.إ377.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was د.إ3,551.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Revenue was د.إ802.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was د.إ802.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was د.إ35,849.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was د.إ854.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was د.إ21.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was د.إ124.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was د.إ7,133.7 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 961.593) / (0 / 802.303)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(802.303 / 802.303) / (961.593 / 961.593)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 1009.044) / 40848.959) / (1 - (0 + 854.834) / 35849.344)
=0.975298 / 0.976155
=0.9991

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=961.593 / 802.303
=1.1985

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(21.454 / (21.454 + 854.834)) / (41.299 / (41.299 + 1009.044))
=0.024483 / 0.03932
=0.6227

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(124.874 / 961.593) / (124.76 / 802.303)
=0.129862 / 0.155502
=0.8351

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7802.535 + 0) / 40848.959) / ((7133.652 + 0) / 35849.344)
=0.191009 / 0.19899
=0.9599

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(377.814 - 0 - 3551.91) / 40848.959
=-0.077703

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

GFH Financial Group BSC has a M-score of -2.67 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


GFH Financial Group BSC Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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GFH Financial Group BSC (ADX:GFH) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Block 346, Road 4626, Building 1398, East Tower, P.O. Box 10006, Office 2901, 29th Floor, Bahrain Financial Harbour, Manama, BHR
GFH Financial Group BSC is an Islamic wholesale investment bank. The firm is organized into three operating segments Investment Banking, Commercial Banking and Proprietary and treasury. Substantial revenue is generated from Proprietary and Treasury operations. The Group has primary operations in Bahrain. The investment banking segment focuses on private equity and asset management activities, Commercial Banking includes all sharia compliant corporate banking and retail banking activities of the Group provided through the Group's subsidiary, Proprietary and treasury includes all common costs and activities that are undertaken at the Group level, including treasury and residual proprietary and co-investment assets.