American Overseas Group (American Overseas Group) Beneish M-Score : 0.00 (As of Jun. 16, 2024)

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What is American Overseas Group Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for American Overseas Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of American Overseas Group was 0.00. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 0.00.

American Overseas Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of American Overseas Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

-4.84

0.92 * DSRI

0.528 * GMI

0.404 * AQI

0.892 * SGI

0.115 * DEPI

-4.84

0.92 *

0.528 *

0.404 *

0.892 *

0.115 *

0.172 * SGAI

4.679 * TATA

0.327 * LVGI

0.172 *

4.679 *

0.327 *

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun09) TTM:

Last Year (Jun08) TTM:

Total Receivables was $0.00 Mil.
Revenue was 8.22 + 24.806 + 43.819 + 23.079 = $99.92 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8.22 + 24.806 + 43.819 + 23.079 = $99.92 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0.00 Mil.
Total Assets was $467.74 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.23 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $4.89 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $35.00 Mil.
Net Income was -4.568 + -1.934 + -55.82 + -40.431 = $-102.75 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 3.403 + -1.197 + 0 + -1.249 = $0.96 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -100.473 + -10.343 + -169.935 + -106.443 = $-387.19 Mil.

Total Receivables was $5.13 Mil.
Revenue was 186.283 + -141.932 + -94.354 + -4.312 = $-54.32 Mil.
Gross Profit was 186.283 + -141.932 + -94.354 + -4.312 = $-54.32 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0.00 Mil.
Total Assets was $864.74 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.20 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $4.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $40.00 Mil.

1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI	=	(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)	/	(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
	=	(0 / 99.924)	/	(5.134 / -54.315)
	=	0	/
	=

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI	=	GrossMargin_t-1	/	GrossMargin_t
	=	(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)	/	(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
	=	(-54.315 / -54.315)	/	(99.924 / 99.924)
	=		/	1
	=

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI	=	(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)	/	(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
	=	(1 - (0 + 0) / 467.736)	/	(1 - (0 + 0) / 864.736)
	=	1	/	1
	=

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI	=	Sales_t	/	Sales_t-1
	=	Revenue_t	/	Revenue_t-1
	=	99.924	/	-54.315
	=

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI	=	(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))	/	(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
	=	(0.203 / (0.203 + 0))	/	(0.23 / (0.23 + 0))
	=	1	/	1
	=

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI	=	(SGA_t / Sales_t)	/	(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
	=	(4.891 / 99.924)	/	(3.997 / -54.315)
	=	0.048947	/
	=

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI	=	((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)	/	((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
	=	((35 + 0) / 467.736)	/	((40 + 0) / 864.736)
	=	0.074829	/	0.046257
	=

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA	=	(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t	-	CashFlowsfromOperations_t)	/	TotalAssets_t
	=	(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t	-	CashFlowsfromOperations_t)	/	TotalAssets_t
	=	(-102.753 - 0.957	-	-387.194)	/	467.736
	=	0.606077

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

American Overseas Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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American Overseas Group (American Overseas Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Insurance » American Overseas Group Ltd (OTCPK:AOREF) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Cumberland House 6th Floor 1 Victoria Street, Hamilton, BMU, HM 11

Website

https://www.aoreltd.com

American Overseas Group Ltd is a Barbados-based insurance and reinsurance group with tax residency in the United Kingdom. The company's core business has transitioned from financial guaranty reinsurance, mostly of public finance and structured finance debt obligations, to writing nonstandard auto insurance through its Texas-based subsidiary.

Executives

Edward U Gilpin	officer: Chief Financial Officer	134 HOMMELVILLE ROAD, SAUGERTIES NY 12477
Bradley M Shuster	director	2100 POWELL STREET, 12TH FLOOR, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Joseph M Donovan	director	2929 ARCH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104-2870
David L Boyle	director	C/O AMBAC FINANCIAL GROUP INC, 1 STATE STREET PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10004
Allan S Bufferd	director
Cummings Robert F Jr	10 percent owner	C/O MOORE CORP, ONE CANTARBURG GREET, STAMFORD CT 006901
Joseph H Wender	10 percent owner	2855 GAZELLE COURT, CARLSBAD CA 92010
Robert Hamwee	10 percent owner	C/O NEW MOUNTAIN FINANCE CORPORATION, 787 7TH AVENUE, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Eckert Alfred C Iii	10 percent owner	12 EAST 49TH STREET SUITE 3200 NEW YORK NY 10017
Richard M Hayden	10 percent owner
Transatlantic Holdings Inc	10 percent owner	80 PINE STREET NEW YORK NY 10005
Kyle Waldhauer	10 percent owner	30 ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10112
Thomas V Inglesby	10 percent owner	535 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022