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Adnams (AQSE:ADB) Beneish M-Score : -2.72 (As of Sep. 21, 2024)


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What is Adnams Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.72 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Adnams's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AQSE:ADB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.86   Med: -2.72   Max: -2.51
Current: -2.72

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Adnams was -2.51. The lowest was -2.86. And the median was -2.72.


Adnams Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Adnams's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Adnams Beneish M-Score Chart

Adnams Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - - -2.51 -2.72

Adnams Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -2.51 - -2.72

Competitive Comparison of Adnams's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Adnams's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Adnams's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Adnams's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Adnams's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Adnams Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Adnams for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1755+0.528 * 1.0341+0.404 * 0.9776+0.892 * 1.0332+0.115 * 0.9986
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0651+4.679 * -0.084838-0.327 * 1.1062
=-2.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was £4.88 Mil.
Revenue was £66.34 Mil.
Gross Profit was £29.43 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £14.75 Mil.
Total Assets was £50.03 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £33.50 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £3.08 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £0.08 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £17.28 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £10.00 Mil.
Net Income was £-3.11 Mil.
Gross Profit was £0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was £1.13 Mil.
Total Receivables was £4.02 Mil.
Revenue was £64.22 Mil.
Gross Profit was £29.46 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £16.50 Mil.
Total Assets was £53.33 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £34.90 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £3.21 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £0.07 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £16.29 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £10.00 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4.882 / 66.344) / (4.02 / 64.215)
=0.073586 / 0.062602
=1.1755

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(29.457 / 64.215) / (29.429 / 66.344)
=0.458725 / 0.443582
=1.0341

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (14.747 + 33.5) / 50.025) / (1 - (16.495 + 34.9) / 53.334)
=0.035542 / 0.036356
=0.9776

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=66.344 / 64.215
=1.0332

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3.207 / (3.207 + 34.9)) / (3.083 / (3.083 + 33.5))
=0.084158 / 0.084274
=0.9986

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0.077 / 66.344) / (0.07 / 64.215)
=0.001161 / 0.00109
=1.0651

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((10 + 17.276) / 50.025) / ((10 + 16.288) / 53.334)
=0.545247 / 0.492894
=1.1062

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-3.113 - 0 - 1.131) / 50.025
=-0.084838

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Adnams has a M-score of -2.72 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Adnams Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Sole Bay Brewery, Southwold, Suffolk, GBR, IP18 6JW
Adnams PLC is engaged in brewers, distillers, wine merchants, retailers, publicans, and hoteliers. The company's business segments are Adnams Brewing & Brands (Drinks), which comprises brewing and distribution of beer, spirits, and other products, Adnams Pubs & Hotel Properties, which comprises tenanted pubs and managed inns, and Adnams Retail, which comprises shops together with the mail order and web businesses.

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