Atlas Arteria (ASX:ALX) Beneish M-Score: -2.54 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


ASX:ALX Atlas Arteria Ltd ASX:ALX
75 GF Score
Price A$5.10
GF Value A$5.86
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Atlas Arteria Beneish M-Score?

Atlas Arteria ASX:ALX 75 Beneish M-Score is -2.54 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:ALX with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of A$5.86 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,704 Construction companies, Atlas Arteria ranks better than 54.4% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.54 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Atlas Arteria's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:ALX' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.4   Med: -1.98   Max: 52.87
Current: -2.54

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Atlas Arteria was 52.87. The lowest was -4.40. And the median was -1.98.


Atlas Arteria Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Atlas Arteria's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Atlas Arteria Beneish M-Score Chart

Atlas Arteria Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.33 -2.81 0.39 -3.13 -2.54

Atlas Arteria Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.39 0.00 -3.13 0.00 -2.54

Atlas Arteria Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Infrastructure Operations subindustry, Atlas Arteria's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Atlas Arteria Beneish M-Score vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Atlas Arteria's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Atlas Arteria's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ASX:ALX
75GF Score
Atlas Arteria Ltd ASX:ALX
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Atlas Arteria Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Atlas Arteria for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8517+0.528 * 1.1119+0.404 * 1.0068+0.892 * 1.0959+0.115 * 0.9991
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0266+4.679 * -0.013219-0.327 * 1.0184
=-2.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$11.2 Mil.
Revenue was A$158.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$136.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$288.4 Mil.
Total Assets was A$7,655.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$14.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$71.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$39.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$132.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$1,631.9 Mil.
Net Income was A$259.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$272.5 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$88.2 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$12.0 Mil.
Revenue was A$145.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$138.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$366.5 Mil.
Total Assets was A$8,262.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$14.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$70.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$35.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$134.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$1,735.6 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(11.2 / 158.9) / (12 / 145)
=0.070485 / 0.082759
=0.8517

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(138.7 / 145) / (136.7 / 158.9)
=0.956552 / 0.860289
=1.1119

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (288.4 + 14.2) / 7655.8) / (1 - (366.5 + 14) / 8262)
=0.960474 / 0.953946
=1.0068

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=158.9 / 145
=1.0959

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(70.5 / (70.5 + 14)) / (71.9 / (71.9 + 14.2))
=0.83432 / 0.835075
=0.9991

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(39.6 / 158.9) / (35.2 / 145)
=0.249213 / 0.242759
=1.0266

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1631.9 + 132.7) / 7655.8) / ((1735.6 + 134.3) / 8262)
=0.230492 / 0.226325
=1.0184

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(259.5 - 272.5 - 88.2) / 7655.8
=-0.013219

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Atlas Arteria has a M-score of -2.54 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.54 mean?
Atlas Arteria (ASX:ALX) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.54 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Atlas Arteria and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Atlas Arteria ranks #777 out of 1704 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 45.6%.
Is Atlas Arteria's Beneish M-Score too high?
Atlas Arteria's current Beneish M-Score is -2.54. Based on the distribution chart, Atlas Arteria ranks #777 out of 1704 companies in the Construction industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Atlas Arteria has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Atlas Arteria's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, Atlas Arteria ranks #777 out of 1704 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Atlas Arteria in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Construction company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Construction industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Atlas Arteria and its competitors. Atlas Arteria's current Beneish M-Score is -2.54. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Atlas Arteria stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Atlas Arteria (ASX:ALX) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$5.86, compared to a current price of A$5.10 — trading 13% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.54. Atlas Arteria's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Atlas Arteria (ASX:ALX), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.54 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Atlas Arteria (ASX:ALX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Atlas Arteria stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$5.10 is trading 13% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$5.86. GuruFocus considers Atlas Arteria to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:ALX:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.54
  • GF Value™: A$5.86 vs. price of A$5.10 (13% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:ALX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Atlas Arteria Business Description

Other Exchanges MAQAF:USAM82:Germany
Address 180 Flinders Street, Level 1, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3000
Atlas Arteria is a global toll-road investor created out of the reorganization of Macquarie Infrastructure Group in 2010. The firm's main asset is a 30.82% stake in APRR. APRR owns concessions to toll more than 2,300 kilometers of motorways in eastern France, most ending by late 2035. The firm also wholly owns the Dulles Greenway and 66.67% of the Chicago Skyway, both in the US.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:ALX

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$5.10
Price
A$5.86
GF Value