Lynch Group Holdings (ASX:LGL) Beneish M-Score : -2.86 (As of Jul. 03, 2025)

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What is Lynch Group Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.86 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lynch Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:LGL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.88 Med: -2.87 Max: -2.86
Current: -2.86

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lynch Group Holdings was -2.86. The lowest was -2.88. And the median was -2.87.

Lynch Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lynch Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Lynch Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Lynch Group Holdings Annual Data

Trend

Jun21

Jun22

Jun23

Jun24

Beneish M-Score

-2.88

-2.86

Lynch Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
	Dec20	Jun21	Dec21	Jun22	Dec22	Jun23	Dec23	Jun24	Dec24
Beneish M-Score	Get a 7-Day Free Trial				-	-2.88	-	-2.86	-

Competitive Comparison of Lynch Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Farm Products subindustry, Lynch Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Lynch Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Lynch Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lynch Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.

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Lynch Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lynch Group Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

-4.84

0.92 * DSRI

0.528 * GMI

0.404 * AQI

0.892 * SGI

0.115 * DEPI

-4.84

0.92 * 0.987

0.528 * 1.0003

0.404 * 0.9127

0.892 * 1.0062

0.115 * 0.9275

0.172 * SGAI

4.679 * TATA

0.327 * LVGI

0.172 * 0.9992

4.679 * -0.063342

0.327 * 1.0962

-2.86

This Year (Jun24) TTM:

Last Year (Jun23) TTM:

Total Receivables was A$19.9 Mil.
Revenue was A$397.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$185.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$75.0 Mil.
Total Assets was A$356.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$126.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$24.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$83.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$62.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$90.0 Mil.
Net Income was A$-26.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$-30.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$26.5 Mil.

Total Receivables was A$20.0 Mil.
Revenue was A$395.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$184.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$80.1 Mil.
Total Assets was A$401.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$130.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$23.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$83.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$65.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$91.2 Mil.

1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI	=	(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)	/	(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
	=	(19.897 / 397.715)	/	(20.034 / 395.265)
	=	0.050028	/	0.050685
	=	0.987

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI	=	GrossMargin_t-1	/	GrossMargin_t
	=	(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)	/	(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
	=	(184.627 / 395.265)	/	(185.724 / 397.715)
	=	0.467097	/	0.466978
	=	1.0003

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI	=	(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)	/	(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
	=	(1 - (75.013 + 126.46) / 356.034)	/	(1 - (80.096 + 130.53) / 401.674)
	=	0.434119	/	0.475629
	=	0.9127

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI	=	Sales_t	/	Sales_t-1
	=	Revenue_t	/	Revenue_t-1
	=	397.715	/	395.265
	=	1.0062

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI	=	(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))	/	(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
	=	(23.26 / (23.26 + 130.53))	/	(24.64 / (24.64 + 126.46))
	=	0.151245	/	0.163071
	=	0.9275

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI	=	(SGA_t / Sales_t)	/	(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
	=	(83.61 / 397.715)	/	(83.159 / 395.265)
	=	0.210226	/	0.210388
	=	0.9992

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI	=	((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)	/	((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
	=	((90.048 + 62.084) / 356.034)	/	((91.235 + 65.342) / 401.674)
	=	0.427296	/	0.389811
	=	1.0962

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA	=	(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t	-	CashFlowsfromOperations_t)	/	TotalAssets_t
	=	(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t	-	CashFlowsfromOperations_t)	/	TotalAssets_t
	=	(-26.052 - -30.048	-	26.548)	/	356.034
	=	-0.063342

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lynch Group Holdings has a M-score of -2.86 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Lynch Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Lynch Group Holdings Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » Lynch Group Holdings Ltd (ASX:LGL) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

8b Williamson Road, Ingleburn, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2565

Website

https://www.lynchgroup.com.au

Lynch Group Holdings Ltd is a vertically integrated wholesale floral company whose farms cover the entire process of planting, growing, merchandising, and selling flowers and potted plants to supermarket chains and commercial outlets throughout Australia and China. The Group is organized into two operating segments Australia, which operates a vertically integrated production farm and wholesale operation in Australia; and China segment, which segment operates a production farm and distribution operation in China, supplying the domestic China market as well as the Australian segment. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Australia segment.