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Metcash (ASX:MTS) Beneish M-Score : -2.56 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Metcash Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.56 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Metcash's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:MTS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.82   Med: -2.65   Max: -2.36
Current: -2.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Metcash was -2.36. The lowest was -2.82. And the median was -2.65.


Metcash Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Metcash's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Metcash Beneish M-Score Chart

Metcash Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.73 -2.36 -2.64 -2.60 -2.56

Metcash Semi-Annual Data
Apr14 Oct14 Apr15 Oct15 Apr16 Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.60 - -2.56 -

Competitive Comparison of Metcash's Beneish M-Score

For the Food Distribution subindustry, Metcash's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Metcash's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Metcash's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Metcash's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Metcash Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Metcash for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9504+0.528 * 0.9517+0.404 * 1.0445+0.892 * 1.0421+0.115 * 1.0324
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0475+4.679 * -0.010336-0.327 * 1.0202
=-2.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Apr23) TTM:Last Year (Apr22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$1,620 Mil.
Revenue was A$15,803 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$1,842 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$3,091 Mil.
Total Assets was A$5,379 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$890 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$175 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$973 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$2,896 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$1,172 Mil.
Net Income was A$259 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$-58 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$373 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$1,635 Mil.
Revenue was A$15,165 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$1,683 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$3,046 Mil.
Total Assets was A$5,201 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$861 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$176 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$891 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$2,725 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$1,131 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1619.6 / 15803.4) / (1635.3 / 15164.8)
=0.102484 / 0.107835
=0.9504

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1682.5 / 15164.8) / (1842.3 / 15803.4)
=0.110948 / 0.116576
=0.9517

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3091.4 + 890.3) / 5379.1) / (1 - (3046.1 + 861.3) / 5200.9)
=0.259783 / 0.248707
=1.0445

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=15803.4 / 15164.8
=1.0421

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(175.9 / (175.9 + 861.3)) / (175 / (175 + 890.3))
=0.169591 / 0.164273
=1.0324

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(972.7 / 15803.4) / (891.1 / 15164.8)
=0.06155 / 0.058761
=1.0475

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1172.4 + 2896.4) / 5379.1) / ((1131.2 + 2724.9) / 5200.9)
=0.756409 / 0.741429
=1.0202

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(259 - -58.1 - 372.7) / 5379.1
=-0.010336

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Metcash has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Metcash Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Metcash (ASX:MTS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 Thomas Holt Drive, Macquarie Park, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2113
Metcash is a wholesale distribution and marketing company specialising in food, liquor, and hardware. Centralised wholesale distribution enables retailers to gain access to the combined scale of many retailers to negotiate material volume discounts.The food segment distributes of a range of products and services to independent supermarket and convenience stores. The hardware segment distributes hardware products to independent retail outlets and operates company-owned stores. The liquor segment distributes liquor products to independent retailers and pubs.

Metcash (ASX:MTS) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Metcash Stock Is Estimated To Be Modestly Overvalued

By GF Value GF Value 05-11-2021