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National Australia Bank (ASX:NAB) Beneish M-Score : -2.30 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is National Australia Bank Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.3 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Australia Bank's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:NAB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -10.72   Med: -2.48   Max: -1.98
Current: -2.3

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National Australia Bank was -1.98. The lowest was -10.72. And the median was -2.48.


National Australia Bank Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National Australia Bank for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0449+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0002+0.892 * 0.9927+0.115 * 0.9137
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0592+4.679 * 0.039566-0.327 * 1.0622
=-2.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$362 Mil.
Revenue was A$19,629 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$19,629 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$0 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,080,248 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$2,865 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$1,312 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$6,163 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$214,292 Mil.
Net Income was A$6,960 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$-35,781 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$349 Mil.
Revenue was A$19,773 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$19,773 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$0 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,059,083 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$3,016 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$1,214 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$5,861 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$197,792 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(362 / 19629) / (349 / 19773)
=0.018442 / 0.01765
=1.0449

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(19773 / 19773) / (19629 / 19629)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 2865) / 1080248) / (1 - (0 + 3016) / 1059083)
=0.997348 / 0.997152
=1.0002

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=19629 / 19773
=0.9927

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1214 / (1214 + 3016)) / (1312 / (1312 + 2865))
=0.286998 / 0.314101
=0.9137

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6163 / 19629) / (5861 / 19773)
=0.313974 / 0.296414
=1.0592

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((214292 + 0) / 1080248) / ((197792 + 0) / 1059083)
=0.198373 / 0.186758
=1.0622

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6960 - 0 - -35781) / 1080248
=0.039566

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National Australia Bank has a M-score of -2.30 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


National Australia Bank Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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National Australia Bank Business Description

Address
395 Bourke Street, Level 28, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3000
National Australia Bank is the most business-focused of the four major banks, holding the largest share of business loans and the number-three spot in home loans. National Australia Bank is currently the second-largest bank by market capitalization, with the franchise covering consumer, small business, corporate, and institutional sectors. Under the UBank brand the bank also owns one of Australia's largest digital-only banks. Offshore operations in New Zealand round out the group.