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Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE) Beneish M-Score : -2.55 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Treasury Wine Estates Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.55 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Treasury Wine Estates's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:TWE' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.87   Med: -2.65   Max: -2.41
Current: -2.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Treasury Wine Estates was -2.41. The lowest was -2.87. And the median was -2.65.


Treasury Wine Estates Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Treasury Wine Estates's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Treasury Wine Estates Beneish M-Score Chart

Treasury Wine Estates Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.41 -2.85 -2.50 -2.87 -2.55

Treasury Wine Estates Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.87 - -2.55 -

Competitive Comparison of Treasury Wine Estates's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Treasury Wine Estates's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Treasury Wine Estates's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Treasury Wine Estates's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Treasury Wine Estates's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Treasury Wine Estates Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Treasury Wine Estates for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0728+0.528 * 0.9579+0.404 * 0.9986+0.892 * 0.9783+0.115 * 0.9289
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1233+4.679 * -0.011676-0.327 * 1.0406
=-2.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$541 Mil.
Revenue was A$2,423 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$1,009 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$2,237 Mil.
Total Assets was A$7,091 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$1,967 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$162 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$572 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$1,098 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$1,687 Mil.
Net Income was A$255 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$65 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$272 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$515 Mil.
Revenue was A$2,477 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$988 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$1,990 Mil.
Total Assets was A$6,664 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$1,957 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$149 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$520 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$1,003 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$1,512 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(540.6 / 2423) / (515.1 / 2476.7)
=0.223112 / 0.207978
=1.0728

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(988.2 / 2476.7) / (1009.3 / 2423)
=0.398999 / 0.41655
=0.9579

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2237.2 + 1966.5) / 7091.3) / (1 - (1989.7 + 1956.8) / 6663.7)
=0.407203 / 0.407761
=0.9986

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2423 / 2476.7
=0.9783

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(148.6 / (148.6 + 1956.8)) / (161.7 / (161.7 + 1966.5))
=0.07058 / 0.07598
=0.9289

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(571.8 / 2423) / (520.3 / 2476.7)
=0.235988 / 0.210078
=1.1233

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1686.9 + 1098.4) / 7091.3) / ((1512.2 + 1003.1) / 6663.7)
=0.392777 / 0.377463
=1.0406

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(254.5 - 65.3 - 272) / 7091.3
=-0.011676

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Treasury Wine Estates has a M-score of -2.55 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Treasury Wine Estates Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
161 Collins Street, Level 8, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3000
Treasury Wine Estates is an Australia-based global wine company that demerged from Foster's Group in 2011. The company is among the world's top five wine producers, and owns a portfolio that includes Australian labels such as Penfolds and Wolf Blass, U.S. wines like Chateau St Jean and Sterling, and newly launched names such as 19 Crimes and Maison de Grand Esprit. An acquisition of Diageo's wine business in 2016 added additional U.S. brands including BV and Stags' Leap. Treasury owns over 130 wineries, with more than 13,000 planted hectares.

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