National Hotels Co BSC (BAH:NHOTEL) Beneish M-Score: -2.40 (As of Jul. 15, 2026)

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BAH:NHOTEL National Hotels Co BSC BAH:NHOTEL
71 GF Score
Price BHD0.28
GF Value BHD0.23
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is National Hotels Co BSC Beneish M-Score?

National Hotels Co BSC BAH:NHOTEL 71 Beneish M-Score is -2.40 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus rates BAH:NHOTEL with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of BHD0.23 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 822 Travel & Leisure companies, National Hotels Co BSC ranks worse than 68% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.4 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Hotels Co BSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BAH:NHOTEL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3   Med: -2.37   Max: -0.68
Current: -2.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National Hotels Co BSC was -0.68. The lowest was -3.00. And the median was -2.37.


National Hotels Co BSC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for National Hotels Co BSC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

National Hotels Co BSC Beneish M-Score Chart

National Hotels Co BSC Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.33 -2.30 -2.42 -1.95 -2.37

National Hotels Co BSC Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.13 -2.61 -2.72 -2.37 -2.40

BAH:NHOTEL vs MAR, HLT, H: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Lodging subindustry, National Hotels Co BSC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National Hotels Co BSC Beneish M-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, National Hotels Co BSC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Hotels Co BSC's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BAH:NHOTEL
71GF Score
National Hotels Co BSC BAH:NHOTEL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

National Hotels Co BSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National Hotels Co BSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0236+0.528 * 1.0594+0.404 * 0.9232+0.892 * 0.9721+0.115 * 0.9654
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.6022+4.679 * -0.003509-0.327 * 0.8924
=-2.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was BHD1.20 Mil.
Revenue was 1.741 + 2.39 + 1.771 + 2.22 = BHD8.12 Mil.
Gross Profit was 0.614 + 1.013 + 0.543 + 0.925 = BHD3.10 Mil.
Total Current Assets was BHD12.85 Mil.
Total Assets was BHD86.08 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was BHD36.22 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was BHD2.39 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was BHD0.12 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was BHD3.10 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was BHD0.00 Mil.
Net Income was 0.544 + 0.921 + 0.467 + 0.821 = BHD2.75 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = BHD0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0.224 + 0.748 + 0.475 + 1.608 = BHD3.06 Mil.
Total Receivables was BHD1.21 Mil.
Revenue was 2.109 + 2.307 + 1.762 + 2.177 = BHD8.36 Mil.
Gross Profit was 0.905 + 1.008 + 0.559 + 0.901 = BHD3.37 Mil.
Total Current Assets was BHD11.35 Mil.
Total Assets was BHD85.08 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was BHD34.10 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was BHD2.17 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was BHD0.21 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was BHD3.44 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was BHD0.00 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1.201 / 8.122) / (1.207 / 8.355)
=0.14787 / 0.144464
=1.0236

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3.373 / 8.355) / (3.095 / 8.122)
=0.40371 / 0.381064
=1.0594

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12.847 + 36.219) / 86.076) / (1 - (11.352 + 34.102) / 85.079)
=0.429969 / 0.465744
=0.9232

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8.122 / 8.355
=0.9721

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2.171 / (2.171 + 34.102)) / (2.394 / (2.394 + 36.219))
=0.059852 / 0.062
=0.9654

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0.12 / 8.122) / (0.205 / 8.355)
=0.014775 / 0.024536
=0.6022

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 3.104) / 86.076) / ((0 + 3.438) / 85.079)
=0.036061 / 0.04041
=0.8924

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2.753 - 0 - 3.055) / 86.076
=-0.003509

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National Hotels Co BSC has a M-score of -2.40 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.40 mean?
National Hotels Co BSC (BAH:NHOTEL) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.40 as of Jul. 15, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on National Hotels Co BSC and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, National Hotels Co BSC ranks #559 out of 822 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 68%.
Is National Hotels Co BSC's Beneish M-Score too high?
National Hotels Co BSC's current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. Based on the distribution chart, National Hotels Co BSC ranks #559 out of 822 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, National Hotels Co BSC has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does National Hotels Co BSC's Beneish M-Score compare to MAR and HLT?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, National Hotels Co BSC ranks #559 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places National Hotels Co BSC in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on National Hotels Co BSC and its competitors. National Hotels Co BSC's current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is National Hotels Co BSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National Hotels Co BSC (BAH:NHOTEL) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is BHD0.23, compared to a current price of BHD0.28 — trading 21.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. National Hotels Co BSC's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For National Hotels Co BSC (BAH:NHOTEL), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.40 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is National Hotels Co BSC (BAH:NHOTEL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National Hotels Co BSC stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of BHD0.28 is trading 21.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of BHD0.23. GuruFocus considers National Hotels Co BSC to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BAH:NHOTEL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.40
  • GF Value™: BHD0.23 vs. price of BHD0.28 (21.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BAH:NHOTEL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


National Hotels Co BSC Business Description

Address Building 59, Road 1701, Block 317, P.O. Box 5243, Diplomatic Area, Manama, BHR, 317
National Hotels Co BSC owns and manages refurbished rooms, bars, restaurants, banquet and conference facilities. It derives a majority of revenue from hotel rooms followed by food and beverages and serviced apartments. The operating segments of the company are Hotel Business, Real estate properties, and Investments & corporate. It generates maximum revenue from the Hotel Business segment. Hotel Business segment includes Room rental, food and beverage sales, conferences and events.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BAH:NHOTEL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

BHD0.28
Price
BHD0.23
GF Value