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Central Pattana PCL (BKK:CPN-F) Beneish M-Score : -2.79 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Central Pattana PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.79 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Central Pattana PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:CPN-F' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.39   Med: -2.74   Max: -2.32
Current: -2.79

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Central Pattana PCL was -2.32. The lowest was -3.39. And the median was -2.74.


Central Pattana PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Central Pattana PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Central Pattana PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Central Pattana PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 -2.54 -2.32 -2.73 -2.79

Central Pattana PCL Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.73 -2.84 -2.85 -2.89 -2.79

Competitive Comparison of Central Pattana PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, Central Pattana PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Central Pattana PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Central Pattana PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Central Pattana PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Central Pattana PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Central Pattana PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5797+0.528 * 0.9331+0.404 * 0.9986+0.892 * 1.2822+0.115 * 1.0653
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9104+4.679 * -0.038391-0.327 * 0.9533
=-2.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿4,054 Mil.
Revenue was 12849.229 + 11917.845 + 10864.951 + 9981.391 = ฿45,613 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7133.564 + 6154.234 + 5590.583 + 5226.03 = ฿24,104 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿25,546 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿279,873 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿4,822 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿8,546 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿7,726 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿53,868 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿83,656 Mil.
Net Income was 3976.263 + 4161.641 + 3677.832 + 3245.887 = ฿15,062 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 1077.233 + 1381.601 + 1271.116 + 887.955 = ฿4,618 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 5719.926 + 5822.553 + 4989.059 + 4656.674 = ฿21,188 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿5,455 Mil.
Revenue was 10209.015 + 9011.384 + 8575.817 + 7778.389 = ฿35,575 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5161.92 + 4488.678 + 4168.48 + 3722.774 = ฿17,542 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿25,242 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿272,692 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿4,005 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿8,550 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿6,618 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿42,032 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿98,523 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4054.37 / 45613.416) / (5454.94 / 35574.605)
=0.088885 / 0.153338
=0.5797

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(17541.852 / 35574.605) / (24104.411 / 45613.416)
=0.4931 / 0.52845
=0.9331

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (25545.929 + 4822) / 279872.724) / (1 - (25242.211 + 4005) / 272691.928)
=0.891494 / 0.892746
=0.9986

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=45613.416 / 35574.605
=1.2822

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8550.031 / (8550.031 + 4005)) / (8545.927 / (8545.927 + 4822))
=0.681004 / 0.639286
=1.0653

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(7725.893 / 45613.416) / (6618.476 / 35574.605)
=0.169378 / 0.186045
=0.9104

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((83655.532 + 53868.213) / 279872.724) / ((98523.283 + 42032.064) / 272691.928)
=0.49138 / 0.515436
=0.9533

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(15061.623 - 4617.905 - 21188.212) / 279872.724
=-0.038391

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Central Pattana PCL has a M-score of -2.79 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Central Pattana PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Central Pattana PCL (BKK:CPN-F) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
999/9 Rama I Road, 31-33 Floor, The Offices at Central World, Patumwan District, Patumwan Sub-District, Bangkok, THA, 10330
Central Pattana PCL develops and manages large-scale shopping complexes, office buildings, and hotels. The company segment includes Development of shopping center buildings, office building and condominiums for rent including provision of utility services, operator of play land and water theme park in the shopping center buildings; Food center services in the shopping centers; Hotel business and Real estate business for sales of land and houses and condominium units.

Central Pattana PCL (BKK:CPN-F) Headlines

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