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SAF Special Steel PCL (BKK:SAF) Beneish M-Score : -2.23 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is SAF Special Steel PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.23 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for SAF Special Steel PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:SAF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.23   Med: -2.23   Max: -2.23
Current: -2.23

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of SAF Special Steel PCL was -2.23. The lowest was -2.23. And the median was -2.23.


SAF Special Steel PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for SAF Special Steel PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

SAF Special Steel PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

SAF Special Steel PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - - -2.23

SAF Special Steel PCL Quarterly Data
Dec20 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - - - -2.23

Competitive Comparison of SAF Special Steel PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Steel subindustry, SAF Special Steel PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SAF Special Steel PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, SAF Special Steel PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SAF Special Steel PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



SAF Special Steel PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of SAF Special Steel PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1606+0.528 * 1.1713+0.404 * 0.834+0.892 * 0.8512+0.115 * 1.3666
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2559+4.679 * 0.013295-0.327 * 0.5304
=-2.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿40.7 Mil.
Revenue was 39.171 + 43.14 + 46.191 + 50.153 = ฿178.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8.749 + 9.877 + 11.316 + 11.65 = ฿41.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿201.6 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿404.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿167.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿4.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿35.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿108.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿9.9 Mil.
Net Income was 1.16 + 0.777 + 0.784 + -0.018 = ฿2.7 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.077 + 0.208 + 0.386 + -0.094 = ฿0.6 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -10.075 + 0 + -3.168 + 9.996 = ฿-3.2 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿41.2 Mil.
Revenue was 54.135 + 57.703 + 53.448 + 44.592 = ฿209.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was 14.421 + 16.379 + 14.183 + 12.246 = ฿57.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿185.6 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿316.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿97.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿3.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿33.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿160.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿15.3 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(40.711 / 178.655) / (41.208 / 209.878)
=0.227875 / 0.196343
=1.1606

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(57.229 / 209.878) / (41.592 / 178.655)
=0.272677 / 0.232806
=1.1713

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (201.628 + 167.092) / 404.147) / (1 - (185.578 + 97.563) / 316.395)
=0.087659 / 0.105103
=0.834

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=178.655 / 209.878
=0.8512

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3.515 / (3.515 + 97.563)) / (4.363 / (4.363 + 167.092))
=0.034775 / 0.025447
=1.3666

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(35.498 / 178.655) / (33.204 / 209.878)
=0.198696 / 0.158206
=1.2559

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9.944 + 108.87) / 404.147) / ((15.339 + 160.014) / 316.395)
=0.293987 / 0.554222
=0.5304

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2.703 - 0.577 - -3.247) / 404.147
=0.013295

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

SAF Special Steel PCL has a M-score of -2.23 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


SAF Special Steel PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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SAF Special Steel PCL (BKK:SAF) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Bangkhunthien-Chytalay road, 110 Thientalay 24, Ta-kam, Bankhunthien, Bangkok, THA, 10150
SAF Special Steel PCL is engaged in the sales and processing of special-grade steel for various industrial applications. The principal activities of the Company are import and distribution including steel products for industrial and distribution tooling, equipment parts and band saw machines and manufacture of molds & dies and vacuum hardening services.

SAF Special Steel PCL (BKK:SAF) Headlines

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