Celsia Esp (BOG:CELSIA) Beneish M-Score: -3.50 (As of Aug. 27, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BOG:CELSIA Celsia SA Esp BOG:CELSIA
75 GF Score
Price COP4,755.00
GF Value COP3,355.39
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Celsia Esp Beneish M-Score?

Celsia Esp BOG:CELSIA -0.83% 75 Beneish M-Score is -3.50 as of Aug. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates BOG:CELSIA with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of COP3,355.39 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 398 Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies, Celsia Esp ranks better than 91.21% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.5 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Celsia Esp's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BOG:CELSIA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.52   Med: -2.5   Max: -1.41
Current: -3.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Celsia Esp was -1.41. The lowest was -3.52. And the median was -2.50.


Celsia Esp Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Celsia Esp's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Celsia Esp Beneish M-Score Chart

Celsia Esp Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.72 -2.59 -2.51 -3.50

Celsia Esp Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.82 -3.50 -2.70 0.00

Celsia Esp Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Celsia Esp's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Celsia Esp Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Celsia Esp's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Celsia Esp's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BOG:CELSIA
75GF Score
Celsia SA Esp BOG:CELSIA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Celsia Esp Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Celsia Esp for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7068+0.528 * 0.7254+0.404 * 1.2761+0.892 * 0.7926+0.115 * 0.9392
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3005+4.679 * -0.127613-0.327 * 0.6218
=-3.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was COP1,425,463 Mil.
Revenue was COP5,395,120 Mil.
Gross Profit was COP1,610,962 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP2,288,230 Mil.
Total Assets was COP14,201,545 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was COP10,581,061 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was COP439,415 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was COP153,690 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP3,026,190 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was COP19,419 Mil.
Net Income was COP206,406 Mil.
Gross Profit was COP0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was COP2,018,706 Mil.
Total Receivables was COP2,544,287 Mil.
Revenue was COP6,806,669 Mil.
Gross Profit was COP1,474,427 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP3,562,272 Mil.
Total Assets was COP15,112,166 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was COP10,438,924 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was COP406,134 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was COP149,096 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP5,190,670 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was COP21,808 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1425463 / 5395120) / (2544287 / 6806669)
=0.264213 / 0.373793
=0.7068

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1474427 / 6806669) / (1610962 / 5395120)
=0.216615 / 0.298596
=0.7254

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2288230 + 10581061) / 14201545) / (1 - (3562272 + 10438924) / 15112166)
=0.09381 / 0.073515
=1.2761

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5395120 / 6806669
=0.7926

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(406134 / (406134 + 10438924)) / (439415 / (439415 + 10581061))
=0.037449 / 0.039873
=0.9392

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(153690 / 5395120) / (149096 / 6806669)
=0.028487 / 0.021904
=1.3005

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((19419 + 3026190) / 14201545) / ((21808 + 5190670) / 15112166)
=0.214456 / 0.344919
=0.6218

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(206406 - 0 - 2018706) / 14201545
=-0.127613

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Celsia Esp has a M-score of -3.50 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.50 mean?
Celsia Esp (BOG:CELSIA) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.50 as of Aug. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Celsia Esp and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Celsia Esp ranks #35 out of 398 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, placing it in the top 8.8%.
Is Celsia Esp's Beneish M-Score too high?
Celsia Esp's current Beneish M-Score is -3.50. Based on the distribution chart, Celsia Esp ranks #35 out of 398 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Celsia Esp has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Celsia Esp's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry distribution chart, Celsia Esp ranks #35 out of 398 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Celsia Esp in the top 9% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Celsia Esp and its competitors. Celsia Esp's current Beneish M-Score is -3.50. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Celsia Esp stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Celsia Esp (BOG:CELSIA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is COP3,355.39, compared to a current price of COP4,755.00 — trading 41.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.50. Celsia Esp's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Celsia Esp (BOG:CELSIA), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.50 as of Aug. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Celsia Esp (BOG:CELSIA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Celsia Esp stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of COP4,755.00 is trading 41.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of COP3,355.39. GuruFocus considers Celsia Esp to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BOG:CELSIA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.50
  • GF Value™: COP3,355.39 vs. price of COP4,755.00 (41.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BOG:CELSIA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Celsia Esp Business Description

Address Carrera 43A No. 1A Sur - 143, Floor 5, Medellin, COL
Celsia SA Esp is a Latin American public utility company. Celsia is involved in the generation and sale of electrical energy and natural gas in Colombia, Panama, and Costa Rica. Through its principal subsidiary, Celsia Colombia S.A. E.S.P, the company owns and operates a portfolio of thermal, hydroelectric, and wind power plants. The company has two geographical operating segments namely Colombia and Central America. It generates maximum revenue from the Colombia segment. The company projects include Porvenir II and ReverdeC.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BOG:CELSIA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

COP4,755.00
Price
COP3,355.39
GF Value