Celsia Esp (BOG:CELSIA) Altman Z2-Score: 0.68 (As of Jul. 12, 2026) — 30% Below Median


BOG:CELSIA Celsia SA Esp BOG:CELSIA
60 GF Score
Price COP5,380.00
GF Value COP3,203.16
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 11 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Celsia Esp Altman Z2-Score?

Celsia Esp BOG:CELSIA +3.86% 60 Altman Z2-Score is 0.68 as of Jul. 12, 2026, which is 30% below its 10-year median of 0.97. GuruFocus rates BOG:CELSIA with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of COP3,203.16 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review. Among 440 Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies, Celsia Esp ranks worse than 70.91% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Celsia Esp has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.68, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Celsia Esp's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BOG:CELSIA' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.12   Med: 0.97   Max: 1.91
Current: 0.68

During the past 13 years, Celsia Esp's highest Altman Z2-Score was 1.91. The lowest was -0.12. And the median was 0.97.


Celsia Esp  (BOG:CELSIA) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Celsia Esp Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Celsia Esp Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Celsia Esp's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Celsia Esp Altman Z2-Score Chart

Celsia Esp Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.34 1.91 0.78 0.27 0.61

Celsia Esp Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.05 -0.12 -0.11 0.61 0.68

Celsia Esp Altman Z2-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Celsia Esp's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Celsia Esp Altman Z2-Score vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Celsia Esp's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Celsia Esp's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


BOG:CELSIA
60GF Score
Celsia SA Esp BOG:CELSIA
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Celsia Esp Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Celsia Esp's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.0208+3.26*-0.0074+6.72*0.0723+1.05*0.3401
=0.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was COP14,209,432 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP2,439,646 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP2,735,010 Mil.
Retained Earnings was COP-104,553 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 107485.505 + 98453.732 + 84668.794 + 160983.222 = COP451,591 Mil.
Interest Expense was -155487.024 + -76879.955 + -169103.627 + -174570.924 = COP-576,042 Mil.
Total Liabilities was COP9,369,054 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2439645.802 - 2735010.443)/14209432.42
=-0.0208

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-104553.067/14209432.42
=-0.0074

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(451591.253 - -576041.53)/14209432.42
=0.0723

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(3186883.489 - 0)/9369054.096
=0.3401

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Celsia Esp has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.68 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 0.68 mean?
Celsia Esp (BOG:CELSIA) has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.68 as of Jul. 12, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Celsia Esp and its competitors. This is 30% below median its historical median of 0.97. According to the industry distribution chart, Celsia Esp ranks #312 out of 440 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, placing it in the top 70.9%.
Is Celsia Esp's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Celsia Esp's current Altman Z2-Score of 0.68 is 30% below median its 10-year median of 0.97. The Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry median Altman Z2-Score is 1.75. Celsia Esp's value of 0.68 is 61.1% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Celsia Esp ranks #312 out of 440 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Celsia Esp has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Celsia Esp's Altman Z2-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry distribution chart, Celsia Esp ranks #312 out of 440 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places Celsia Esp in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 1.75. Celsia Esp's value of 0.68 is 61.1% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 0.97 vs. the industry median of 1.75, Celsia Esp has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies is 1.75, based on 440 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Celsia Esp's current Altman Z2-Score of 0.68 is 61.1% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Celsia Esp and its competitors. For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 1.75 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Celsia Esp's current Altman Z2-Score is 0.68, which is 30% below median its own 10-year median of 0.97. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Celsia Esp stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Celsia Esp (BOG:CELSIA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is COP3,203.16, compared to a current price of COP5,380.00 — trading 68% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 0.68, which is 30% below median its 10-year median of 0.97 and 61.1% below the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry median of 1.75. Celsia Esp's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Celsia Esp (BOG:CELSIA), the current Altman Z2-Score is 0.68 as of Jul. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Celsia Esp (BOG:CELSIA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Celsia Esp stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of COP5,380.00 is trading 68% above its estimated GF Value™ of COP3,203.16. GuruFocus considers Celsia Esp to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BOG:CELSIA:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 0.68 (30% below median its 10-year median of 0.97)
  • GF Value™: COP3,203.16 vs. price of COP5,380.00 (68% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 11 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 61.1% below the Utilities - Independent Power Producers median (#312 of 440)

No single metric tells the full story. See the BOG:CELSIA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Celsia Esp Business Description

Address Carrera 43A No. 1A Sur - 143, Floor 5, Medellin, COL
Celsia SA Esp is a Latin American public utility company. Celsia is involved in the generation and sale of electrical energy and natural gas in Colombia, Panama, and Costa Rica. Through its principal subsidiary, Celsia Colombia S.A. E.S.P, the company owns and operates a portfolio of thermal, hydroelectric, and wind power plants. The company has two geographical operating segments namely Colombia and Central America. It generates maximum revenue from the Colombia segment. The company projects include Porvenir II and ReverdeC.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BOG:CELSIA

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

COP5,380.00
Price
COP3,203.16
GF Value