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Happy Forgings (BOM:544057) Beneish M-Score : -1.76 (As of Apr. 09, 2025)


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What is Happy Forgings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.76 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Happy Forgings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BOM:544057' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.76   Med: -0.7   Max: 0.37
Current: -1.76

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Happy Forgings was 0.37. The lowest was -1.76. And the median was -0.70.


Happy Forgings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Happy Forgings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Happy Forgings Beneish M-Score Chart

Happy Forgings Annual Data
Trend Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
- - 0.37 -1.76

Happy Forgings Quarterly Data
Mar21 Mar22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -1.76 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Happy Forgings's Beneish M-Score

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Happy Forgings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Happy Forgings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Happy Forgings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Happy Forgings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Happy Forgings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Happy Forgings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0362+0.528 * 0.9333+0.404 * 1.7542+0.892 * 1.158+0.115 * 1.0368
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0439+4.679 * 0.028611-0.327 * 0.5402
=-1.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₹3,708 Mil.
Revenue was ₹12,431 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹5,654 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹7,418 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹18,860 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹9,334 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹647 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹381 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹2,418 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹0 Mil.
Net Income was ₹2,430 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₹1,890 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₹3,090 Mil.
Revenue was ₹10,735 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹4,557 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹4,900 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹13,262 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹7,517 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹542 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹315 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹2,566 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹582 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3707.606 / 12430.82) / (3089.913 / 10735.141)
=0.298259 / 0.287832
=1.0362

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4556.712 / 10735.141) / (5653.839 / 12430.82)
=0.424467 / 0.454824
=0.9333

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7417.514 + 9334.033) / 18859.51) / (1 - (4899.52 + 7517.111) / 13261.614)
=0.111772 / 0.063716
=1.7542

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12430.82 / 10735.141
=1.158

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(541.824 / (541.824 + 7517.111)) / (647.276 / (647.276 + 9334.033))
=0.067233 / 0.064849
=1.0368

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(380.713 / 12430.82) / (314.969 / 10735.141)
=0.030627 / 0.02934
=1.0439

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 2418.405) / 18859.51) / ((581.76 + 2566.434) / 13261.614)
=0.128233 / 0.237391
=0.5402

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2429.837 - 0 - 1890.243) / 18859.51
=0.028611

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Happy Forgings has a M-score of -1.76 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Happy Forgings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Happy Forgings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
H.B 220, Post Office - Rajgarh, Village Dugri, Ludhiana, PB, IND, 141 421
Happy Forgings Ltd is a manufacturer specializing in designing and manufacturing heavy forgings and high-precision machined components. The company manufactures, designs, and tests various products such as crankshafts, front axle carriers, steering knuckles, differential housings, transmission parts, pinion shafts, suspension products, and valve bodies for different industries and customers. The Company business comprises only the Forging segment where the company sells forged products comprising of forgings and machined components for the automotive and industrial sectors. The company generates the majority of its revenue within India.

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