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Coty (BSP:COTY34) Beneish M-Score : -2.45 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Coty Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.45 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Coty's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:COTY34' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.17   Med: -2.66   Max: -1.41
Current: -2.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Coty was -1.41. The lowest was -3.17. And the median was -2.66.


Coty Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Coty's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Coty Beneish M-Score Chart

Coty Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.17 -3.08 -2.35 -2.92 -2.66

Coty Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.82 -2.79 -2.66 -2.54 -2.45

Competitive Comparison of Coty's Beneish M-Score

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Coty's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Coty's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Coty's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Coty's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Coty Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Coty for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9773+0.528 * 1.0057+0.404 * 0.9609+0.892 * 1.1021+0.115 * 1.0246
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9369+4.679 * -0.030924-0.327 * 0.9025
=-2.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$2,451 Mil.
Revenue was 8464.894 + 8106.382 + 6560.261 + 6713.365 = R$29,845 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5507.865 + 5145.632 + 4123.218 + 4223.133 = R$19,000 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$11,865 Mil.
Total Assets was R$63,774 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$4,879 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$2,132 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$14,892 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$13,969 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$19,278 Mil.
Net Income was 886.374 + 7.902 + 159.687 + 564.612 = R$1,619 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 356.705 + -559.061 + 103.869 + 842.231 = R$744 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2067.226 + 919.586 + 509.153 + -648.992 = R$2,847 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$2,275 Mil.
Revenue was 7991.891 + 7288.604 + 5897.228 + 5903.006 = R$27,081 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5236.483 + 4659.987 + 3644.944 + 3797.491 = R$17,339 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$9,999 Mil.
Total Assets was R$65,329 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$5,194 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$2,351 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$14,423 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$15,293 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$22,446 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2450.88 / 29844.902) / (2275.455 / 27080.729)
=0.082121 / 0.084025
=0.9773

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(17338.905 / 27080.729) / (18999.848 / 29844.902)
=0.640267 / 0.63662
=1.0057

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (11865.356 + 4878.731) / 63774.327) / (1 - (9999.306 + 5193.995) / 65329.359)
=0.737448 / 0.767435
=0.9609

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=29844.902 / 27080.729
=1.1021

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2350.617 / (2350.617 + 5193.995)) / (2131.864 / (2131.864 + 4878.731))
=0.311562 / 0.304092
=1.0246

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(14891.781 / 29844.902) / (14423.097 / 27080.729)
=0.498972 / 0.532596
=0.9369

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((19278.263 + 13969.33) / 63774.327) / ((22446.116 + 15293.488) / 65329.359)
=0.521332 / 0.577682
=0.9025

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1618.575 - 743.744 - 2846.973) / 63774.327
=-0.030924

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Coty has a M-score of -2.52 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Coty (BSP:COTY34) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
350 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10118
Coty is a global beauty maker that focuses on fragrance (59% of sales) and color cosmetics (28%), with limited exposure to skincare (5%) and body care (8%). For its fragrance business, Coty licenses luxury and high-end brands including Gucci, Burberry, Hugo Boss, Davidoff, and Calvin Klein, while its consumer cosmetics business focuses on acquired mass brands such as CoverGirl, Max Factor, Rimmel, Sally Hansen, and Bourjois. It also collaborates with social media celebrities Kim Kardashian and Kylie Jenner to launch makeup products bearing their names. By region, Coty generates close to 45% of sales from Europe, 30% from North America, 10% from Asia, and 8% from Latin America, with the rest from travel retail. German investment firm JAB is a controlling shareholder, with a 53% stake.

Coty (BSP:COTY34) Headlines

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