Advance Auto Parts (BUE:AAP) Beneish M-Score: -2.77 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


BUE:AAP Advance Auto Parts Inc BUE:AAP
52 GF Score
Price ARS6,080.00
GF Value ARS5,781.60
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Advance Auto Parts Beneish M-Score?

Advance Auto Parts BUE:AAP -0.08% 52 Beneish M-Score is -2.77 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates BUE:AAP with a GF Score™ of 52/100 and a GF Value™ of ARS5,781.60 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,273 Vehicles & Parts companies, Advance Auto Parts ranks better than 72.27% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.77 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Advance Auto Parts's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BUE:AAP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.98   Med: -2.6   Max: -2.41
Current: -2.77

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Advance Auto Parts was -2.41. The lowest was -2.98. And the median was -2.60.


Advance Auto Parts Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Advance Auto Parts's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Advance Auto Parts Beneish M-Score Chart

Advance Auto Parts Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 -2.73 -2.53 -2.78 -2.79

Advance Auto Parts Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.91 -2.62 -2.79 -2.77

BUE:AAP vs DORM, ATMU, DAN: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Advance Auto Parts's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Advance Auto Parts Beneish M-Score vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Advance Auto Parts's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Advance Auto Parts's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BUE:AAP
52GF Score
Advance Auto Parts Inc BUE:AAP
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Advance Auto Parts Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Advance Auto Parts for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8014+0.528 * 0.8407+0.404 * 0.9222+0.892 * 1.332+0.115 * 1.0823
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9597+4.679 * -0.002028-0.327 * 1.0287
=-2.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ARS562,095 Mil.
Revenue was 3655012.667 + 2863787.774 + 2764913.251 + 2386338.745 = ARS11,670,052 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1649929.207 + 1261343.931 + 1196408.926 + 1037641.822 = ARS5,145,324 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS10,208,587 Mil.
Total Assets was ARS16,497,894 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS4,731,661 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS347,674 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS4,770,160 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS5,742,593 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS7,308,627 Mil.
Net Income was 33557.882 + 8708.934 + -1358.012 + 17808.498 = ARS58,717 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -1398.245 + 8708.934 + -23086.211 + -13059.565 = ARS-28,835 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -26566.657 + 104507.207 + -16296.149 + 59361.66 = ARS121,006 Mil.
Total Receivables was ARS526,622 Mil.
Revenue was 2753573.409 + 2015960.02 + 2041673.91 + 1950398.972 = ARS8,761,606 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1182234.963 + 351480.004 + 863053.962 + 850724.988 = ARS3,247,494 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS6,481,505 Mil.
Total Assets was ARS11,318,114 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS3,677,827 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS294,254 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS3,731,690 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS5,109,515 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS3,594,677 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(562094.526 / 11670052.437) / (526622.247 / 8761606.311)
=0.048166 / 0.060106
=0.8014

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3247493.917 / 8761606.311) / (5145323.886 / 11670052.437)
=0.370651 / 0.4409
=0.8407

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10208587.406 + 4731661.386) / 16497893.823) / (1 - (6481504.579 + 3677827.434) / 11318114.164)
=0.094415 / 0.102383
=0.9222

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11670052.437 / 8761606.311
=1.332

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(294254.284 / (294254.284 + 3677827.434)) / (347673.634 / (347673.634 + 4731661.386))
=0.074081 / 0.068449
=1.0823

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4770160.306 / 11670052.437) / (3731690.405 / 8761606.311)
=0.408752 / 0.425914
=0.9597

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7308627.088 + 5742592.587) / 16497893.823) / ((3594676.553 + 5109515.041) / 11318114.164)
=0.791084 / 0.76905
=1.0287

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(58717.302 - -28835.087 - 121006.061) / 16497893.823
=-0.002028

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Advance Auto Parts has a M-score of -2.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.77 mean?
Advance Auto Parts (BUE:AAP) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.77 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Advance Auto Parts and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Advance Auto Parts ranks #353 out of 1273 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 27.7%.
Is Advance Auto Parts' Beneish M-Score too high?
Advance Auto Parts' current Beneish M-Score is -2.77. Based on the distribution chart, Advance Auto Parts ranks #353 out of 1273 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Advance Auto Parts has a GF Score™ of 52/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Advance Auto Parts' Beneish M-Score compare to DORM and ATMU?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Advance Auto Parts ranks #353 out of 1273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Advance Auto Parts in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Advance Auto Parts and its competitors. Advance Auto Parts's current Beneish M-Score is -2.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Advance Auto Parts stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Advance Auto Parts (BUE:AAP) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ARS5,781.60, compared to a current price of ARS6,080.00 — trading 5.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.77. Advance Auto Parts' overall GF Score™ is 52/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Advance Auto Parts (BUE:AAP), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.77 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Advance Auto Parts (BUE:AAP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Advance Auto Parts stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ARS6,080.00 is trading 5.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of ARS5,781.60. GuruFocus considers Advance Auto Parts to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for BUE:AAP:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.77
  • GF Value™: ARS5,781.60 vs. price of ARS6,080.00 (5.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 52/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BUE:AAP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Advance Auto Parts Business Description

Address 4200 Six Forks Road, Raleigh, NC, USA, 27609
Advance Auto Parts is a leading auto-parts retailer in North America with more than 4,000 store and branch locations. About half of the firm's sales are geared toward the professional channel, with the remaining sales in the do-it-yourself market. Through its vast store footprint and distribution network, Advance manages thousands of stock-keeping units for various vehicle makes and models. The retailer primarily competes on inventory availability and service speed, making the operating efficiency of its hub-and-spoke distribution model critical to meeting customer needs.
52GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BUE:AAP

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

ARS6,080.00
Price
ARS5,781.60
GF Value