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Traton SE (CHIX:8TRAD) Beneish M-Score : -2.35 (As of Dec. 16, 2024)


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What is Traton SE Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.35 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Traton SE's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:8TRAd' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.51   Med: -2.38   Max: -1.85
Current: -2.35

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Traton SE was -1.85. The lowest was -5.51. And the median was -2.38.


Traton SE Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Traton SE's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Traton SE Beneish M-Score Chart

Traton SE Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - -2.60 -2.17 -2.03 -2.43

Traton SE Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 -2.43 -2.40 -2.30 -2.35

Competitive Comparison of Traton SE's Beneish M-Score

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Traton SE's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Traton SE's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Traton SE's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Traton SE's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Traton SE Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Traton SE for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0563+0.528 * 0.9171+0.404 * 0.9931+0.892 * 1.0432+0.115 * 1.0007
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0246+4.679 * 0.014822-0.327 * 0.9472
=-2.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €11,386 Mil.
Revenue was 11866 + 11589 + 11798 + 12698 = €47,951 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2565 + 2454 + 2572 + 2456 = €10,047 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €23,913 Mil.
Total Assets was €65,106 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €14,193 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €2,888 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €5,449 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €23,275 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €0 Mil.
Net Income was 723 + 585 + 752 + 511 = €2,571 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 767 + -334 + 211 + 962 = €1,606 Mil.
Total Receivables was €10,333 Mil.
Revenue was 11322 + 11668 + 11186 + 11791 = €45,967 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2236 + 2270 + 2280 + 2047 = €8,833 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €21,286 Mil.
Total Assets was €61,048 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €14,270 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €2,906 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €5,098 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €23,042 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(11386 / 47951) / (10333 / 45967)
=0.237451 / 0.224792
=1.0563

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8833 / 45967) / (10047 / 47951)
=0.19216 / 0.209526
=0.9171

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (23913 + 14193) / 65106) / (1 - (21286 + 14270) / 61048)
=0.414708 / 0.417573
=0.9931

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=47951 / 45967
=1.0432

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2906 / (2906 + 14270)) / (2888 / (2888 + 14193))
=0.16919 / 0.169077
=1.0007

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5449 / 47951) / (5098 / 45967)
=0.113637 / 0.110906
=1.0246

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 23275) / 65106) / ((0 + 23042) / 61048)
=0.357494 / 0.377441
=0.9472

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2571 - 0 - 1606) / 65106
=0.014822

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Traton SE has a M-score of -2.35 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Traton SE Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Traton SE Business Description

Address
Hanauer Street 26, Munich, BY, DEU, 80992
Traton SE is a commercial vehicle manufacturer. The group's product portfolio comprises trucks, buses, and light-duty commercial vehicles. Transforming Transportation Together. For a sustainable world. this intention underlines the company's ambition to have a lasting and sustainable impact on the commercial vehicle business and the group's commercial growth.

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