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Coty (NYSE:COTY) Beneish M-Score

: -2.66 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.66 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Coty's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

COTY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.17   Med: -2.61   Max: -1.48
Current: -2.66

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Coty was -1.48. The lowest was -3.17. And the median was -2.61.


Coty Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Coty's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Coty Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.17 -3.08 -2.35 -2.92 -2.66

Coty Quarterly Data
Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.92 -2.76 -2.82 -2.79 -2.66

Competitive Comparison

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Coty's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Coty Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Coty's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Coty's Beneish M-Score falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Beneish M-Score's extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



Coty Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Coty for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9347+0.528 * 0.9945+0.404 * 0.9786+0.892 * 1.0471+0.115 * 1.1116
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9342+4.679 * -0.041922-0.327 * 0.9445
=-2.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $613 Mil.
Revenue was 1351.6 + 1288.9 + 1523.6 + 1390 = $5,554 Mil.
Gross Profit was 849.5 + 810.8 + 998.3 + 888.7 = $3,547 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,052 Mil.
Total Assets was $12,662 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,000 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $427 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,818 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,737 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,426 Mil.
Net Income was 32.9 + 108.4 + 238.3 + 128.6 = $508 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 21.4 + 161.7 + 142.7 + 87.5 = $413 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 104.9 + -124.6 + 482.2 + 163.2 = $626 Mil.
Total Receivables was $626 Mil.
Revenue was 1168.3 + 1186.2 + 1578.2 + 1371.7 = $5,304 Mil.
Gross Profit was 722.1 + 763.1 + 1017.1 + 866.9 = $3,369 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,682 Mil.
Total Assets was $12,116 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,036 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $516 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,881 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,566 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,691 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(612.5 / 5554.1) / (625.8 / 5304.4)
=0.110279 / 0.117978
=0.9347

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3369.2 / 5304.4) / (3547.3 / 5554.1)
=0.635171 / 0.638681
=0.9945

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2051.7 + 999.6) / 12661.6) / (1 - (1681.9 + 1036.4) / 12116.1)
=0.759011 / 0.775646
=0.9786

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5554.1 / 5304.4
=1.0471

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(516.4 / (516.4 + 1036.4)) / (426.7 / (426.7 + 999.6))
=0.332561 / 0.299166
=1.1116

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2818.3 / 5554.1) / (2881.3 / 5304.4)
=0.507427 / 0.543191
=0.9342

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4425.7 + 2736.8) / 12661.6) / ((4691.3 + 2565.6) / 12116.1)
=0.565687 / 0.598947
=0.9445

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(508.2 - 413.3 - 625.7) / 12661.6
=-0.041922

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Coty has a M-score of -2.66 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Coty (NYSE:COTY) Business Description

Coty logo
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
350 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10118
Coty Inc is a global beauty firm that sells fragrance, color cosmetics, and skin and body care. It licenses brands such as Calvin Klein, Hugo Boss, Gucci, Burberry, and Davidoff for its prestige portfolio. Coty's most popular color cosmetic brands are CoverGirl, Max Factor, Rimmel, Sally Hansen, and Kylie. Coty also holds a minority stake in a salon and retail haircare business, including brands Wella, Clairol, OPI, and GHD. The company has two reportable segments such as Prestige and Consumer Beauty. It generates majority of its revenue from Prestige segment.
Executives
Priya Srinivasan officer: Chief People & Purpose Officer 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Rochet Lubomira director 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Laurent Mercier officer: Chief Financial Officer 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Anna Adeola Makanju director 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Maria Asunicion Aramburuzabala director PASEO DE LOS TAMARINDOS 400, TORRE B PISO 25, MEXICO DF O5 0000
Johannes P Huth director
Sue Nabi director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Bayern Anna Von officer: Chief Corp. Affairs Officer 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Nancy G. Ford director C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 9 WEST 57TH STREET, SUITE 4200, NEW YORK NY 10019
George R Roberts 10 percent owner C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Kkr Rainbow Aggregator L.p. 10 percent owner C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 9 WEST 57TH STREET, SUITE 4200, NEW YORK NY 10019
Kkr Rainbow Aggregator Gp Llc 10 percent owner C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 9 WEST 57TH STREET, SUITE 4200, NEW YORK NY 10019
Kkr Europe V S.a R.l. 10 percent owner C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 9 WEST 57TH STREET, SUITE 4200, NEW YORK NY 10019
Kkr Associates Europe V Scsp 10 percent owner C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 9 WEST 57TH STREET, SUITE 4200, NEW YORK NY 10019
Kkr Europe V Holdings Ltd 10 percent owner C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 9 WEST 57TH STREET, SUITE 4200, NEW YORK NY 10019