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Guolian Minsheng Securities Co (FRA:34V) Beneish M-Score : -2.58 (As of Apr. 04, 2025)


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What is Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:34V' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.58   Med: -2.58   Max: -2.58
Current: -2.58

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Guolian Minsheng Securities Co was -2.58. The lowest was -2.58. And the median was -2.58.


Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -2.58

Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Quarterly Data
Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -2.30 3.10 -2.58

Competitive Comparison of Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Guolian Minsheng Securities Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0101+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.7892+0.892 * 1.0483+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7728+4.679 * 0.014188-0.327 * 1.0883
=-2.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1,554.6 Mil.
Revenue was 207.24 + 154.063 + 248.555 + -28.042 = €581.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was 207.24 + 154.063 + 248.555 + -28.042 = €581.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €11,037.5 Mil.
Total Assets was €12,750.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €46.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €23.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €6,970.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,483.4 Mil.
Net Income was 0.206 + 39.237 + 39.244 + -27.946 = €50.7 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 0 + 0 + -130.164 = €-130.2 Mil.
Total Receivables was €1,468.1 Mil.
Revenue was 444.767 + -193.349 + 140.682 + 162.907 = €555.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 444.767 + -193.349 + 140.682 + 162.907 = €555.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €9,293.3 Mil.
Total Assets was €11,189.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €43.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €28.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €5,548.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,075.4 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1554.569 / 581.816) / (1468.08 / 555.007)
=2.671925 / 2.645156
=1.0101

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(555.007 / 555.007) / (581.816 / 581.816)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (11037.485 + 46.742) / 12750.666) / (1 - (9293.263 + 43.414) / 11189.767)
=0.130694 / 0.165606
=0.7892

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=581.816 / 555.007
=1.0483

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 43.414)) / (0 / (0 + 46.742))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(23.409 / 581.816) / (28.896 / 555.007)
=0.040234 / 0.052064
=0.7728

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2483.444 + 6970.239) / 12750.666) / ((2075.419 + 5548.083) / 11189.767)
=0.741427 / 0.681292
=1.0883

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(50.741 - 0 - -130.164) / 12750.666
=0.014188

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Guolian Minsheng Securities Co has a M-score of -2.44 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 8 Jinrong One Street, Jiangsu Province, Wuxi, CHN, 214000
Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Ltd Formerly Guolian Securities Co Ltd is a China-based financial institution. The company's operating segments include Brokerage and wealth management; Credit transactions; Investment banking; Proprietary trading; Asset management and investment and Other businesses. It generates maximum revenue from the Proprietary trading segment and Brokerage and wealth management segment. The Proprietary trading segment includes trading in financial products. The Brokerage and wealth management segment includes securities trading and brokering services, sales of wealth management products, investment consulting, and asset allocation.

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