China Merchants Commercial REIT (FRA:5C3) Beneish M-Score: 1.56 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


FRA:5C3 China Merchants Commercial REIT FRA:5C3
72 GF Score
Price €0.10
GF Value €0.11
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is China Merchants Commercial REIT Beneish M-Score?

China Merchants Commercial REIT FRA:5C3 -0.97% 72 Beneish M-Score is 1.56 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:5C3 with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.11. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 764 REITs companies, China Merchants Commercial REIT ranks worse than 96.34% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 1.56 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Merchants Commercial REIT's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:5C3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.43   Med: -2.41   Max: 8.92
Current: 1.56

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Merchants Commercial REIT was 8.92. The lowest was -3.43. And the median was -2.41.


China Merchants Commercial REIT Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Merchants Commercial REIT's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Merchants Commercial REIT Beneish M-Score Chart

China Merchants Commercial REIT Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.41 -2.73 -3.05 -3.43 1.56

China Merchants Commercial REIT Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.05 0.00 -3.43 0.00 1.56

FRA:5C3 vs BXP, ARE, VNO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the REIT - Office subindustry, China Merchants Commercial REIT's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Merchants Commercial REIT Beneish M-Score vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, China Merchants Commercial REIT's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Merchants Commercial REIT's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:5C3
72GF Score
China Merchants Commercial REIT FRA:5C3
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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China Merchants Commercial REIT Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Merchants Commercial REIT for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 5.6848+0.528 * 1.0213+0.404 * 1.0038+0.892 * 0.7548+0.115 * 0.9286
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9057+4.679 * -0.030387-0.327 * 1.0296
=1.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1.22 Mil.
Revenue was €52.41 Mil.
Gross Profit was €37.20 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €123.93 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,178.97 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €0.04 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0.01 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1.56 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €61.20 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €485.02 Mil.
Net Income was €-11.96 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €23.87 Mil.
Total Receivables was €0.29 Mil.
Revenue was €69.44 Mil.
Gross Profit was €50.33 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €143.48 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,322.34 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €0.05 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0.01 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2.29 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €283.38 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €311.66 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1.223 / 52.409) / (0.285 / 69.435)
=0.023336 / 0.004105
=5.6848

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(50.332 / 69.435) / (37.197 / 52.409)
=0.724879 / 0.709745
=1.0213

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (123.926 + 0.035) / 1178.973) / (1 - (143.48 + 0.05) / 1322.343)
=0.894857 / 0.891458
=1.0038

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=52.409 / 69.435
=0.7548

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0.013 / (0.013 + 0.05)) / (0.01 / (0.01 + 0.035))
=0.206349 / 0.222222
=0.9286

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1.562 / 52.409) / (2.285 / 69.435)
=0.029804 / 0.032908
=0.9057

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((485.019 + 61.196) / 1178.973) / ((311.664 + 283.377) / 1322.343)
=0.463297 / 0.44999
=1.0296

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-11.956 - 0 - 23.869) / 1178.973
=-0.030387

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Merchants Commercial REIT has a M-score of 1.48 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of 1.56 mean?
China Merchants Commercial REIT (FRA:5C3) has a Beneish M-Score of 1.56 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Merchants Commercial REIT and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, China Merchants Commercial REIT ranks #736 out of 764 companies in the REITs industry, placing it in the top 96.3%.
Is China Merchants Commercial REIT's Beneish M-Score too high?
China Merchants Commercial REIT's current Beneish M-Score is 1.56. Based on the distribution chart, China Merchants Commercial REIT ranks #736 out of 764 companies in the REITs industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, China Merchants Commercial REIT has a GF Score™ of 72/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Merchants Commercial REIT's Beneish M-Score compare to BXP and ARE?
According to the REITs industry distribution chart, China Merchants Commercial REIT ranks #736 out of 764 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places China Merchants Commercial REIT in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a REITs company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the REITs industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Merchants Commercial REIT and its competitors. China Merchants Commercial REIT's current Beneish M-Score is 1.56. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Merchants Commercial REIT stock overvalued right now?
China Merchants Commercial REIT (FRA:5C3) has a current Beneish M-Score of 1.56. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.11, compared to a current price of €0.10 — trading 7.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is 1.56. China Merchants Commercial REIT's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Merchants Commercial REIT (FRA:5C3), the current Beneish M-Score is 1.56 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Merchants Commercial REIT (FRA:5C3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Merchants Commercial REIT stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €0.10 is trading 7.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of €0.11.

Key valuation signals for FRA:5C3:

  • Beneish M-Score: 1.56
  • GF Value™: €0.11 vs. price of €0.10 (7.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:5C3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Merchants Commercial REIT Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Other Exchanges 01503:Hong Kong
Address Connaught Road Central, Room 2603-2606, 26th Floor, China Merchants Tower, Shun Tak Centre, Hong Kong, HKG, 168-200
China Merchants Commercial REIT and its subsidiaries are engaged in the property investment. The operating business segments of the company are office buildings and shopping center. Its properties include New Times Plaza, Cyberport Building, Technology Building, Garden City Shopping Centre ,Onward Science And Trade Center and Technology Building 2 among others.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:5C3

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€0.10
Price
€0.11
GF Value