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Pembina Pipeline (FRA:P5P) Beneish M-Score : -2.36 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Pembina Pipeline Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.36 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pembina Pipeline's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:P5P' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.08   Med: -2.62   Max: -1.81
Current: -2.36

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Pembina Pipeline was -1.81. The lowest was -3.08. And the median was -2.62.


Pembina Pipeline Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pembina Pipeline's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pembina Pipeline Beneish M-Score Chart

Pembina Pipeline Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.62 -2.33 -2.30 -2.83

Pembina Pipeline Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.83 -2.83 -2.33 -2.28 -2.36

Competitive Comparison of Pembina Pipeline's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Pembina Pipeline's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pembina Pipeline's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Pembina Pipeline's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pembina Pipeline's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Pembina Pipeline Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Pembina Pipeline for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8652+0.528 * 1.173+0.404 * 0.7068+0.892 * 1.3511+0.115 * 1.1235
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.86+4.679 * -0.023407-0.327 * 1.0339
=-2.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €682 Mil.
Revenue was 1226.52 + 1257.421 + 1149.32 + 3164.662 = €6,798 Mil.
Gross Profit was 496.86 + 552.452 + 496.158 + 580.985 = €2,126 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €989 Mil.
Total Assets was €23,554 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €15,221 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €544 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €326 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,530 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €8,222 Mil.
Net Income was 254.749 + 319.27 + 297.695 + 477.092 = €1,349 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + -414.847 + -4.078 + 161.309 = €-258 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 613.26 + 646.673 + 296.336 + 601.491 = €2,158 Mil.
Total Receivables was €584 Mil.
Revenue was 1007.564 + 987.886 + 1160.418 + 1875.492 = €5,031 Mil.
Gross Profit was 456.347 + 457.818 + 458.706 + 473.216 = €1,846 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €895 Mil.
Total Assets was €21,444 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €11,089 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €447 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €281 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,325 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €7,261 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(682.435 / 6797.923) / (583.764 / 5031.36)
=0.100389 / 0.116025
=0.8652

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1846.087 / 5031.36) / (2126.455 / 6797.923)
=0.366916 / 0.31281
=1.173

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (989.065 + 15221.087) / 23553.973) / (1 - (894.689 + 11089.438) / 21444.15)
=0.311787 / 0.441147
=0.7068

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6797.923 / 5031.36
=1.3511

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(447.264 / (447.264 + 11089.438)) / (544.026 / (544.026 + 15221.087))
=0.038769 / 0.034508
=1.1235

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(326.2 / 6797.923) / (280.728 / 5031.36)
=0.047985 / 0.055796
=0.86

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8221.808 + 1529.824) / 23553.973) / ((7261.386 + 1325.414) / 21444.15)
=0.414012 / 0.400426
=1.0339

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1348.806 - -257.616 - 2157.76) / 23553.973
=-0.023407

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Pembina Pipeline has a M-score of -2.40 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Pembina Pipeline Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Pembina Pipeline Business Description

Address
585 - 8th Avenue S.W., Suite 4000, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 1G1
Pembina Pipeline is a midstream company serving the Canadian and North American (primarily Bakken) markets with an integrated product portfolio. Its assets include pipelines and gas gathering as well as assets across fractionation, storage, and propane exports.

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