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Southwest Airlines Co (FRA:SWN) Beneish M-Score : -2.60 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Southwest Airlines Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.6 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Southwest Airlines Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:SWN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.24   Med: -2.7   Max: -2.02
Current: -2.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Southwest Airlines Co was -2.02. The lowest was -3.24. And the median was -2.70.


Southwest Airlines Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Southwest Airlines Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Southwest Airlines Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Southwest Airlines Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.02 -3.16 -3.24 -2.71 -2.60

Southwest Airlines Co Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.60 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Southwest Airlines Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Southwest Airlines Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Southwest Airlines Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Southwest Airlines Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Southwest Airlines Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Southwest Airlines Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Southwest Airlines Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0361+0.528 * 1.2329+0.404 * 1.0272+0.892 * 1.0643+0.115 * 0.9775
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.075671-0.327 * 1.0525
=-2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1,047 Mil.
Revenue was €23,925 Mil.
Gross Profit was €3,872 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €12,797 Mil.
Total Assets was €33,459 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €18,888 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,396 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €11,239 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €8,219 Mil.
Net Income was €426 Mil.
Gross Profit was €57 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €2,901 Mil.
Total Receivables was €950 Mil.
Revenue was €22,480 Mil.
Gross Profit was €4,486 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €13,979 Mil.
Total Assets was €33,388 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €17,687 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,275 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €9,797 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €8,651 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1047.214 / 23925.447) / (949.664 / 22480.416)
=0.04377 / 0.042244
=1.0361

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4485.888 / 22480.416) / (3872.491 / 23925.447)
=0.199546 / 0.161857
=1.2329

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12796.735 + 18888.366) / 33458.579) / (1 - (13978.752 + 17686.784) / 33388.336)
=0.053005 / 0.051599
=1.0272

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=23925.447 / 22480.416
=1.0643

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1275.344 / (1275.344 + 17686.784)) / (1395.674 / (1395.674 + 18888.366))
=0.067257 / 0.068807
=0.9775

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 23925.447) / (0 / 22480.416)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8219.071 + 11238.752) / 33458.579) / ((8650.816 + 9796.832) / 33388.336)
=0.58155 / 0.552518
=1.0525

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(426.405 - 56.854 - 2901.388) / 33458.579
=-0.075671

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Southwest Airlines Co has a M-score of -2.63 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Southwest Airlines Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Southwest Airlines Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
P.O. Box 36611, Dallas, TX, USA, 75235-1611
Southwest Airlines is the largest domestic air carrier in the United States by passengers boarded. Southwest operates nearly 800 aircraft in an all-Boeing 737 fleet. Despite offering some longer routes and a few perks for business travelers, the airline predominantly specializes in short-haul, leisure flights operated in a single, open-seating cabin configuration in a point-to-point network. In 2025, Southwest will modify its cabins to offer some seats with extra legroom and will update its ticketing process to offer assigned seats.